Stock Analysis

Coveo Solutions Inc. (TSE:CVO) Stock Rockets 32% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

TSX:CVO
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Coveo Solutions Inc. (TSE:CVO) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 32% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 42% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, Coveo Solutions' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.1x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Software industry in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 3.6x and even P/S below 1.4x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Coveo Solutions

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:CVO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 10th 2024

What Does Coveo Solutions' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Coveo Solutions could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Coveo Solutions' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Coveo Solutions' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Coveo Solutions would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 13% gain to the company's revenues. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 89% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 15% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 19% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Coveo Solutions' P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Coveo Solutions' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

It comes as a surprise to see Coveo Solutions trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Coveo Solutions that you need to be mindful of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Coveo Solutions is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.