Stock Analysis

Green Thumb Industries Leads Three Value Picks On TSX That Investors Might Consider Undervalued

TSX:CS
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The Canadian market has shown robust growth, climbing 1.2% in the last week and achieving an 11% increase over the past year, with earnings expected to grow by 15% annually. In this environment, identifying stocks that appear undervalued could offer potential opportunities for investors looking for value in a rising market.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Canada

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Calibre Mining (TSX:CXB)CA$1.83CA$3.1341.6%
Calian Group (TSX:CGY)CA$55.40CA$110.5349.9%
goeasy (TSX:GSY)CA$187.52CA$313.6840.2%
Trisura Group (TSX:TSU)CA$41.58CA$80.1848.1%
Aura Minerals (TSX:ORA)CA$12.10CA$21.2443%
Kinaxis (TSX:KXS)CA$150.58CA$249.5439.7%
Viemed Healthcare (TSX:VMD)CA$10.45CA$20.0848%
Endeavour Mining (TSX:EDV)CA$28.95CA$53.8346.2%
Jamieson Wellness (TSX:JWEL)CA$27.54CA$46.6941%
Kits Eyecare (TSX:KITS)CA$8.39CA$14.3041.3%

Click here to see the full list of 24 stocks from our Undervalued TSX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

We're going to check out a few of the best picks from our screener tool

Green Thumb Industries (CNSX:GTII)

Overview: Green Thumb Industries Inc. operates in the United States, focusing on the manufacturing, distribution, marketing, and sales of cannabis products for both medical and adult-use markets, with a market capitalization of approximately CA$3.89 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue primarily through its retail and consumer packaged goods segments, totaling approximately $806.38 million and $583.78 million respectively.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 36.7%

Green Thumb Industries, priced at CA$17.13, is currently trading 36.7% below its estimated fair value of CA$27.08, signaling potential undervaluation based on discounted cash flow analysis. Despite a modest forecasted Return on Equity of 7.5%, the company's earnings are expected to grow by a significant 23% annually over the next three years, outpacing the Canadian market's growth rate of 14.7%. Additionally, recent expansions and strategic merger discussions highlight proactive management actions to enhance business scope and market presence.

CNSX:GTII Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2024
CNSX:GTII Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2024

Capstone Copper (TSX:CS)

Overview: Capstone Copper Corp. is a copper mining company with operations in the United States, Chile, and Mexico, boasting a market capitalization of CA$7.24 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue primarily from its mining operations at Cozamin (CA$216.78 million), Mantoverde (CA$307.90 million), Pinto Valley (CA$438.59 million), and Mantos Blancos (CA$379.16 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 39.5%

Capstone Copper, with a current trading price of CA$9.94, appears undervalued against a fair value estimate of CA$16.42 based on discounted cash flow analysis. Despite recent insider selling and shareholder dilution over the past year, the company's revenue is projected to grow at 18.1% annually, outstripping the Canadian market forecast of 7.2%. Capstone's transition to profitability within three years and its significant expected earnings growth underscore its potential upside despite some operational challenges reflected in a modest anticipated Return on Equity of 10.3%.

TSX:CS Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2024
TSX:CS Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2024

Constellation Software (TSX:CSU)

Overview: Constellation Software Inc. operates globally, acquiring, building, and managing vertical market software businesses primarily in Canada, the US, and Europe, with a market capitalization of approximately CA$80.74 billion.

Operations: The company generates CA$8.84 billion from its software and programming segment.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 28.3%

Constellation Software, priced at CA$3848.34, trades below its estimated fair value of CA$5367.58, signaling potential undervaluation based on discounted cash flow metrics. With a robust forecast for revenue and earnings growth at 16.1% and 24.43% per year respectively—both outpacing the Canadian market averages—the firm shows promising financial dynamics despite carrying a high level of debt. Recent executive reshuffles aim to bolster its strategic direction, enhancing its competitive edge in software services while maintaining a steady dividend payout evidenced by the recent declaration for July 2024.

TSX:CSU Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2024
TSX:CSU Discounted Cash Flow as at Jun 2024

Where To Now?

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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