Further Upside For Bitfarms Ltd. (TSE:BITF) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 42% Bounce
Despite an already strong run, Bitfarms Ltd. (TSE:BITF) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 42% in the last thirty days. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 9.6% over the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Bitfarms' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in Canada's Software industry. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Check out our latest analysis for Bitfarms
How Has Bitfarms Performed Recently?
Bitfarms certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Bitfarms will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
Bitfarms' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 42% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 32% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 37% during the coming year according to the seven analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 20%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Bitfarms' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Bitfarms' P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Bitfarms currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Bitfarms (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Bitfarms, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Bitfarms might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.