Stock Analysis

Why Melcor Developments Ltd. (TSE:MRD) Could Be Worth Watching

TSX:MRD
Source: Shutterstock

Melcor Developments Ltd. (TSE:MRD), which is in the real estate business, and is based in Canada, received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the TSX over the last few months. Less-covered, small caps tend to present more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Melcor Developments’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Melcor Developments

Advertisement

What is Melcor Developments worth?

Great news for investors – Melcor Developments is still trading at a fairly cheap price according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Melcor Developments’s ratio of 2.58x is below its peer average of 14.54x, which indicates the stock is trading at a lower price compared to the Real Estate industry. However, given that Melcor Developments’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will Melcor Developments generate?

TSX:MRD Past and Future Earnings June 22nd 2020
TSX:MRD Past and Future Earnings June 22nd 2020

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With revenues expected to grow by a double-digit 12% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Melcor Developments. If the level of expenses is able to be maintained, it looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? Since MRD is currently trading below the industry PE ratio, it may be a great time to increase your holdings in the stock. With an optimistic outlook on the horizon, it seems like this growth has not yet been fully factored into the share price. However, there are also other factors such as capital structure to consider, which could explain the current price multiple.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on MRD for a while, now might be the time to enter the stock. Its prosperous future outlook isn’t fully reflected in the current share price yet, which means it’s not too late to buy MRD. But before you make any investment decisions, consider other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to make a well-informed assessment.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Melcor Developments. You can find everything you need to know about Melcor Developments in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Melcor Developments, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Love or hate this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.