Stock Analysis

Don't Buy Melcor Developments Ltd. (TSE:MRD) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks

TSX:MRD
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Melcor Developments Ltd. (TSE:MRD) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before a company's record date, which is the date on which the company determines which shareholders are entitled to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. Accordingly, Melcor Developments investors that purchase the stock on or after the 13th of December will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 31st of December.

The company's next dividend payment will be CA$0.11 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of CA$0.44 to shareholders. Last year's total dividend payments show that Melcor Developments has a trailing yield of 3.5% on the current share price of CA$12.75. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! As a result, readers should always check whether Melcor Developments has been able to grow its dividends, or if the dividend might be cut.

Check out our latest analysis for Melcor Developments

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Melcor Developments distributed an unsustainably high 125% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without extenuating circumstances, we'd consider the dividend at risk of a cut. That said, even highly profitable companies sometimes might not generate enough cash to pay the dividend, which is why we should always check if the dividend is covered by cash flow. The good news is it paid out just 24% of its free cash flow in the last year.

It's disappointing to see that the dividend was not covered by profits, but cash is more important from a dividend sustainability perspective, and Melcor Developments fortunately did generate enough cash to fund its dividend. If executives were to continue paying more in dividends than the company reported in profits, we'd view this as a warning sign. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

Click here to see how much of its profit Melcor Developments paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
TSX:MRD Historic Dividend December 8th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. Melcor Developments's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 28% a year over the previous five years. Ultimately, when earnings per share decline, the size of the pie from which dividends can be paid, shrinks.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Melcor Developments's dividend payments per share have declined at 2.4% per year on average over the past 10 years, which is uninspiring. It's never nice to see earnings and dividends falling, but at least management has cut the dividend rather than potentially risk the company's health in an attempt to maintain it.

Final Takeaway

From a dividend perspective, should investors buy or avoid Melcor Developments? It's not a great combination to see a company with earnings in decline and paying out 125% of its profits, which could imply the dividend may be at risk of being cut in the future. However, the cash payout ratio was much lower - good news from a dividend perspective - which makes us wonder why there is such a mis-match between income and cashflow. It's not the most attractive proposition from a dividend perspective, and we'd probably give this one a miss for now.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Melcor Developments. We've identified 4 warning signs with Melcor Developments (at least 1 which is concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.