Stock Analysis

Green Thumb Industries (CSE:GTII) stock falls 7.2% in past week as three-year earnings and shareholder returns continue downward trend

CNSX:GTII
Source: Shutterstock

The truth is that if you invest for long enough, you're going to end up with some losing stocks. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term Green Thumb Industries Inc. (CSE:GTII) shareholders. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 53% drop in the share price over that period. Furthermore, it's down 15% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

Check out our latest analysis for Green Thumb Industries

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Green Thumb Industries became profitable within the last five years. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So it's worth looking at other metrics to try to understand the share price move.

Revenue is actually up 8.1% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating Green Thumb Industries further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
CNSX:GTII Earnings and Revenue Growth December 11th 2024

Green Thumb Industries is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. If you are thinking of buying or selling Green Thumb Industries stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst consensus estimates for future profits.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 27% in the last year, Green Thumb Industries shareholders lost 12%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 2% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. Most investors take the time to check the data on insider transactions. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Canadian exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.