FP Newspapers' (CVE:FP) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for FP Newspapers Inc.'s (CVE:FP) stock hasn't moved much. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

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Zooming In On FP Newspapers' Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

FP Newspapers has an accrual ratio of 0.34 for the year to March 2025. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. Even though it reported a profit of CA$1.90m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CA$30k in the last year. We saw that FCF was CA$34k a year ago though, so FP Newspapers has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. However, as we will discuss below, we can see that the company's accrual ratio has been impacted by its tax situation. This would partially explain why the accrual ratio was so poor.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of FP Newspapers.

An Unusual Tax Situation

In addition to the notable accrual ratio, we can see that FP Newspapers received a tax benefit of CA$429k. This is of course a bit out of the ordinary, given it is more common for companies to be paying tax than receiving tax benefits! The receipt of a tax benefit is obviously a good thing, on its own. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth. While we think it's good that the company has booked a tax benefit, it does mean that there's every chance the statutory profit will come in a lot higher than it would be if the income was adjusted for one-off factors.

Our Take On FP Newspapers' Profit Performance

FP Newspapers' accrual ratio indicates weak cashflow relative to earnings, which perhaps arises in part from the tax benefit it received this year. If the tax benefit is not repeated, then profit would drop next year, all else being equal. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at FP Newspapers' statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. If you'd like to know more about FP Newspapers as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for FP Newspapers (3 make us uncomfortable) you should be familiar with.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.