Investor Optimism Abounds TVA Group Inc. (TSE:TVA.B) But Growth Is Lacking
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 0.5x in the Media industry in Canada, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about TVA Group Inc.'s (TSE:TVA.B) P/S ratio of 0.1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for TVA Group
What Does TVA Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, TVA Group's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think TVA Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For TVA Group?
TVA Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 8.2% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 5.2% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 5.0% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 6.6% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that TVA Group's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
While TVA Group's P/S isn't anything out of the ordinary for companies in the industry, we didn't expect it given forecasts of revenue decline. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If the declining revenues were to materialize in the form of a declining share price, shareholders will be feeling the pinch.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for TVA Group (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if TVA Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSX:TVA.B
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.