Stock Analysis

Patagonia Gold (CVE:PGDC) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

TSXV:PGDC
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Patagonia Gold Corp. (CVE:PGDC) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Patagonia Gold

What Is Patagonia Gold's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2022, Patagonia Gold had US$23.7m of debt, up from US$18.2m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has US$608.0k in cash leading to net debt of about US$23.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:PGDC Debt to Equity History August 19th 2022

How Strong Is Patagonia Gold's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Patagonia Gold had liabilities of US$16.1m due within a year, and liabilities of US$26.1m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$608.0k and US$1.44m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$40.1m.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$12.6m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Patagonia Gold would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Patagonia Gold will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Patagonia Gold made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to US$17m, which is a fall of 19%. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did Patagonia Gold's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Its EBIT loss was a whopping US$13m. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. Of course, it may be able to improve its situation with a bit of luck and good execution. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it vaporized US$4.4m in cash over the last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So we think this stock is risky, like walking through a dirty dog park with a mask on. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Patagonia Gold (3 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.