Stock Analysis

Orogen Royalties (CVE:OGN) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger

TSXV:OGN
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If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. So on that note, Orogen Royalties (CVE:OGN) looks quite promising in regards to its trends of return on capital.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Orogen Royalties is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.0019 = CA$115k ÷ (CA$61m - CA$1.6m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

Thus, Orogen Royalties has an ROCE of 0.2%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Metals and Mining industry average of 2.0%.

See our latest analysis for Orogen Royalties

roce
TSXV:OGN Return on Capital Employed October 18th 2023

In the above chart we have measured Orogen Royalties' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Orogen Royalties here for free.

So How Is Orogen Royalties' ROCE Trending?

The fact that Orogen Royalties is now generating some pre-tax profits from its prior investments is very encouraging. About five years ago the company was generating losses but things have turned around because it's now earning 0.2% on its capital. In addition to that, Orogen Royalties is employing 919% more capital than previously which is expected of a company that's trying to break into profitability. This can tell us that the company has plenty of reinvestment opportunities that are able to generate higher returns.

In another part of our analysis, we noticed that the company's ratio of current liabilities to total assets decreased to 2.7%, which broadly means the business is relying less on its suppliers or short-term creditors to fund its operations. So this improvement in ROCE has come from the business' underlying economics, which is great to see.

The Key Takeaway

Long story short, we're delighted to see that Orogen Royalties' reinvestment activities have paid off and the company is now profitable. Given the stock has declined 46% in the last five years, this could be a good investment if the valuation and other metrics are also appealing. So researching this company further and determining whether or not these trends will continue seems justified.

One more thing to note, we've identified 3 warning signs with Orogen Royalties and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Orogen Royalties is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.