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We're Keeping An Eye On NorthIsle Copper and Gold's (CVE:NCX) Cash Burn Rate
Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?
So should NorthIsle Copper and Gold (CVE:NCX) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.
See our latest analysis for NorthIsle Copper and Gold
When Might NorthIsle Copper and Gold Run Out Of Money?
A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at June 2022, NorthIsle Copper and Gold had cash of CA$9.1m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CA$7.0m. So it had a cash runway of approximately 16 months from June 2022. That's not too bad, but it's fair to say the end of the cash runway is in sight, unless cash burn reduces drastically. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.
How Is NorthIsle Copper and Gold's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?
Because NorthIsle Copper and Gold isn't currently generating revenue, we consider it an early-stage business. So while we can't look to sales to understand growth, we can look at how the cash burn is changing to understand how expenditure is trending over time. In fact, it ramped its spending strongly over the last year, increasing cash burn by 131%. It's fair to say that sort of rate of increase cannot be maintained for very long, without putting pressure on the balance sheet. NorthIsle Copper and Gold makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. We prefer most of the stocks on this list of stocks that analysts expect to grow.
Can NorthIsle Copper and Gold Raise More Cash Easily?
While NorthIsle Copper and Gold does have a solid cash runway, its cash burn trajectory may have some shareholders thinking ahead to when the company may need to raise more cash. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.
NorthIsle Copper and Gold has a market capitalisation of CA$41m and burnt through CA$7.0m last year, which is 17% of the company's market value. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.
So, Should We Worry About NorthIsle Copper and Gold's Cash Burn?
Even though its increasing cash burn makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought NorthIsle Copper and Gold's cash runway was relatively promising. We don't think its cash burn is particularly problematic, but after considering the range of factors in this article, we do think shareholders should be monitoring how it changes over time. On another note, NorthIsle Copper and Gold has 5 warning signs (and 3 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies insiders are buying, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if NorthIsle Copper and Gold might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:NCX
NorthIsle Copper and Gold
A junior resources company, engages in the exploration, development, and acquisition of mineral resource properties in Canada.
Flawless balance sheet slight.