Stock Analysis

NorthIsle Copper and Gold (CVE:NCX) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

TSXV:NCX
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. By way of example, NorthIsle Copper and Gold (CVE:NCX) has seen its share price rise 350% over the last year, delighting many shareholders. But while the successes are well known, investors should not ignore the very many unprofitable companies that simply burn through all their cash and collapse.

Given its strong share price performance, we think it's worthwhile for NorthIsle Copper and Gold shareholders to consider whether its cash burn is concerning. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. We'll start by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves in order to calculate its cash runway.

View our latest analysis for NorthIsle Copper and Gold

When Might NorthIsle Copper and Gold Run Out Of Money?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. As at March 2021, NorthIsle Copper and Gold had cash of CA$9.1m and no debt. In the last year, its cash burn was CA$1.2m. Therefore, from March 2021 it had 7.4 years of cash runway. While this is only one measure of its cash burn situation, it certainly gives us the impression that holders have nothing to worry about. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:NCX Debt to Equity History June 2nd 2021

How Is NorthIsle Copper and Gold's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Whilst it's great to see that NorthIsle Copper and Gold has already begun generating revenue from operations, last year it only produced CA$13k, so we don't think it is generating significant revenue, at this point. As a result, we think it's a bit early to focus on the revenue growth, so we'll limit ourselves to looking at how the cash burn is changing over time. Remarkably, it actually increased its cash burn by 476% in the last year. We certainly hope for shareholders' sake that the money is well spent, because that kind of expenditure increase always makes us nervous. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.

How Easily Can NorthIsle Copper and Gold Raise Cash?

Given its cash burn trajectory, NorthIsle Copper and Gold shareholders may wish to consider how easily it could raise more cash, despite its solid cash runway. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

Since it has a market capitalisation of CA$54m, NorthIsle Copper and Gold's CA$1.2m in cash burn equates to about 2.3% of its market value. So it could almost certainly just borrow a little to fund another year's growth, or else easily raise the cash by issuing a few shares.

So, Should We Worry About NorthIsle Copper and Gold's Cash Burn?

As you can probably tell by now, we're not too worried about NorthIsle Copper and Gold's cash burn. For example, we think its cash runway suggests that the company is on a good path. Although we do find its increasing cash burn to be a bit of a negative, once we consider the other metrics mentioned in this article together, the overall picture is one we are comfortable with. Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn; the company seems well on top of its medium-term spending needs. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 3 warning signs for NorthIsle Copper and Gold (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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