The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Luca Mining Corp. (CVE:LUCA) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Luca Mining
What Is Luca Mining's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Luca Mining had debt of CA$41.5m at the end of June 2023, a reduction from CA$46.3m over a year. On the flip side, it has CA$14.8m in cash leading to net debt of about CA$26.7m.
A Look At Luca Mining's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Luca Mining had liabilities of CA$55.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$33.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$14.8m as well as receivables valued at CA$12.4m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$61.7m.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CA$38.3m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Luca Mining would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Luca Mining's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year Luca Mining wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 5.3%, to CA$67m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Luca Mining produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CA$8.7m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of CA$2.4m over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Luca Mining (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:LUCA
Luca Mining
Engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral resource properties in North America.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.