Stock Analysis

We Think Colonial Coal International (CVE:CAD) Can Easily Afford To Drive Business Growth

TSXV:CAD
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

So should Colonial Coal International (CVE:CAD) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this report, we will consider the company's annual negative free cash flow, henceforth referring to it as the 'cash burn'. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

When Might Colonial Coal International Run Out Of Money?

A company's cash runway is calculated by dividing its cash hoard by its cash burn. As at January 2025, Colonial Coal International had cash of CA$5.9m and no debt. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CA$1.7m. Therefore, from January 2025 it had 3.5 years of cash runway. A runway of this length affords the company the time and space it needs to develop the business. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:CAD Debt to Equity History March 31st 2025

Check out our latest analysis for Colonial Coal International

How Is Colonial Coal International's Cash Burn Changing Over Time?

Colonial Coal International didn't record any revenue over the last year, indicating that it's an early stage company still developing its business. Nonetheless, we can still examine its cash burn trajectory as part of our assessment of its cash burn situation. With cash burn dropping by 9.2% it seems management feel the company is spending enough to advance its business plans at an appropriate pace. Colonial Coal International makes us a little nervous due to its lack of substantial operating revenue. We prefer most of the stocks on this list of stocks that analysts expect to grow.

How Hard Would It Be For Colonial Coal International To Raise More Cash For Growth?

While Colonial Coal International is showing a solid reduction in its cash burn, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).

Colonial Coal International has a market capitalisation of CA$274m and burnt through CA$1.7m last year, which is 0.6% of the company's market value. So it could almost certainly just borrow a little to fund another year's growth, or else easily raise the cash by issuing a few shares.

How Risky Is Colonial Coal International's Cash Burn Situation?

It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Colonial Coal International is burning through its cash. In particular, we think its cash runway stands out as evidence that the company is well on top of its spending. Its weak point is its cash burn reduction, but even that wasn't too bad! Looking at all the measures in this article, together, we're not worried about its rate of cash burn; the company seems well on top of its medium-term spending needs. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Colonial Coal International that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.