Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Aranjin Resources Ltd. (CVE:ARJN) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Aranjin Resources
What Is Aranjin Resources's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2022 Aranjin Resources had debt of CA$2.21m, up from CA$720.2k in one year. However, it also had CA$482.1k in cash, and so its net debt is CA$1.73m.
A Look At Aranjin Resources' Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Aranjin Resources had liabilities of CA$2.43m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$757.4k due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CA$482.1k in cash and CA$6.0k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CA$2.69m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Aranjin Resources has a market capitalization of CA$9.42m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Aranjin Resources's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Since Aranjin Resources has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Aranjin Resources produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CA$604k. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CA$589k of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with Aranjin Resources (including 3 which are potentially serious) .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSXV:ARJN
Aranjin Resources
Engages in the exploration, development, and acquisition of mineral properties.
Moderate with mediocre balance sheet.