Stock Analysis

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Americas Gold and Silver Corporation's (TSE:USA) Revenues Despite 29% Price Jump

TSX:USA
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Americas Gold and Silver Corporation (TSE:USA) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 21% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Americas Gold and Silver may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x, since almost half of all companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 3x and even P/S higher than 17x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Americas Gold and Silver

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:USA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry May 31st 2024

How Americas Gold and Silver Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for Americas Gold and Silver as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Americas Gold and Silver.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Americas Gold and Silver's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 7.8% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 180% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 35% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 18%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Americas Gold and Silver's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in Americas Gold and Silver have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Americas Gold and Silver's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Americas Gold and Silver (2 are significant) you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Americas Gold and Silver is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.