Stock Analysis

Here's Why Torex Gold Resources (TSE:TXG) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

TSX:TXG
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Torex Gold Resources Inc. (TSE:TXG) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Torex Gold Resources

What Is Torex Gold Resources's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Torex Gold Resources had US$53.9m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. But it also has US$108.7m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$54.8m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:TXG Debt to Equity History September 14th 2024

How Strong Is Torex Gold Resources' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Torex Gold Resources had liabilities of US$318.4m due within a year, and liabilities of US$109.6m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$108.7m in cash and US$90.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$228.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Torex Gold Resources has a market capitalization of US$1.63b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Torex Gold Resources also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

But the bad news is that Torex Gold Resources has seen its EBIT plunge 14% in the last twelve months. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Torex Gold Resources can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Torex Gold Resources has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Torex Gold Resources recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Summing Up

While Torex Gold Resources does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$54.8m. So while Torex Gold Resources does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Torex Gold Resources (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Torex Gold Resources might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.