Stock Analysis

The 9.3% return this week takes Taseko Mines' (TSE:TKO) shareholders five-year gains to 446%

TSX:TKO
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For many, the main point of investing in the stock market is to achieve spectacular returns. And we've seen some truly amazing gains over the years. Don't believe it? Then look at the Taseko Mines Limited (TSE:TKO) share price. It's 446% higher than it was five years ago. This just goes to show the value creation that some businesses can achieve. On top of that, the share price is up 10% in about a quarter. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 6.6% in the last three months.

The past week has proven to be lucrative for Taseko Mines investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.

Check out our latest analysis for Taseko Mines

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the last half decade, Taseko Mines became profitable. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. Indeed, the Taseko Mines share price has gained 25% in three years. During the same period, EPS grew by 11% each year. This EPS growth is higher than the 8% average annual increase in the share price over the same three years. So you might conclude the market is a little more cautious about the stock, these days.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
TSX:TKO Earnings Per Share Growth December 12th 2024

It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Taseko Mines' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

It's good to see that Taseko Mines has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 82% in the last twelve months. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 40% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Taseko Mines better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Taseko Mines has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

Taseko Mines is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find lesser know companies this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Canadian exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Taseko Mines might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.