Stock Analysis

Here's Why Triple Flag Precious Metals (TSE:TFPM) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

TSX:TFPM
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Triple Flag Precious Metals Corp. (TSE:TFPM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Triple Flag Precious Metals

What Is Triple Flag Precious Metals's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Triple Flag Precious Metals had debt of US$60.0m at the end of March 2024, a reduction from US$80.0m over a year. However, it also had US$36.5m in cash, and so its net debt is US$23.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:TFPM Debt to Equity History July 1st 2024

A Look At Triple Flag Precious Metals' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Triple Flag Precious Metals had liabilities of US$17.8m due within a year, and liabilities of US$70.7m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$36.5m and US$27.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$24.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This state of affairs indicates that Triple Flag Precious Metals' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the US$3.12b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Carrying virtually no net debt, Triple Flag Precious Metals has a very light debt load indeed.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Triple Flag Precious Metals has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.17. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 13.9 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. On the other hand, Triple Flag Precious Metals saw its EBIT drop by 8.6% in the last twelve months. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Triple Flag Precious Metals can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Triple Flag Precious Metals produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 75% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

The good news is that Triple Flag Precious Metals's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its EBIT growth rate. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Triple Flag Precious Metals's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Triple Flag Precious Metals that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Triple Flag Precious Metals is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Triple Flag Precious Metals is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

About TSX:TFPM

Triple Flag Precious Metals

A precious-metals-focused streaming and royalty company, engages in acquiring and managing precious metals, streams, royalties and other mineral interests in Australia, Canada, Colombia, Cote d’Ivoire, Honduras, Mexico, Mongolia, Peru, South Africa, the United States, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with moderate growth potential.