Stock Analysis

Institutional investors are Pan American Silver Corp.'s (TSE:PAAS) biggest bettors and were rewarded after last week's CA$483m market cap gain

TSX:PAAS
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Key Insights

  • Institutions' substantial holdings in Pan American Silver implies that they have significant influence over the company's share price
  • A total of 25 investors have a majority stake in the company with 43% ownership
  • Insiders have been buying lately

Every investor in Pan American Silver Corp. (TSE:PAAS) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 59% to be precise, is institutions. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

And things are looking up for institutional investors after the company gained CA$483m in market cap last week. The one-year return on investment is currently 13% and last week's gain would have been more than welcomed.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Pan American Silver.

See our latest analysis for Pan American Silver

ownership-breakdown
TSX:PAAS Ownership Breakdown April 30th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Pan American Silver?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Pan American Silver. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Pan American Silver's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSX:PAAS Earnings and Revenue Growth April 30th 2024

Investors should note that institutions actually own more than half the company, so they can collectively wield significant power. Pan American Silver is not owned by hedge funds. The company's largest shareholder is Van Eck Associates Corporation, with ownership of 13%. BlackRock, Inc. is the second largest shareholder owning 3.7% of common stock, and The Vanguard Group, Inc. holds about 3.6% of the company stock.

Our studies suggest that the top 25 shareholders collectively control less than half of the company's shares, meaning that the company's shares are widely disseminated and there is no dominant shareholder.

While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock's expected performance. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.

Insider Ownership Of Pan American Silver

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our data suggests that insiders own under 1% of Pan American Silver Corp. in their own names. It is a pretty big company, so it would be possible for board members to own a meaningful interest in the company, without owning much of a proportional interest. In this case, they own around CA$17m worth of shares (at current prices). It is good to see board members owning shares, but it might be worth checking if those insiders have been buying.

General Public Ownership

With a 41% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Pan American Silver. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Pan American Silver you should know about.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Pan American Silver is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.