Stock Analysis

Northcliff Resources (TSE:NCF) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt

TSX:NCF
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Northcliff Resources Ltd. (TSE:NCF) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Northcliff Resources

What Is Northcliff Resources's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of April 2023 Northcliff Resources had CA$5.47m of debt, an increase on CA$1.03m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CA$3.31m, its net debt is less, at about CA$2.16m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:NCF Debt to Equity History August 31st 2023

A Look At Northcliff Resources' Liabilities

According to the balance sheet data, Northcliff Resources had liabilities of CA$6.17m due within 12 months, but no longer term liabilities. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$3.31m as well as receivables valued at CA$39.7k due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$2.82m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Northcliff Resources has a market capitalization of CA$6.41m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Northcliff Resources's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Since Northcliff Resources has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Northcliff Resources produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CA$2.1m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CA$3.0m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 6 warning signs for Northcliff Resources (5 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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Find out whether Northcliff Resources is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.