Stock Analysis

How Methanex's New Marine Fuel Partnerships Could Shape the Long-Term Outlook for TSX:MX Investors

  • Methanex recently announced new strategic partnerships in the ARA (Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp) region and South Korea to expand marine fuel operations, including collaboration with TankMatch for barge-to-ship methanol bunkering and enhanced local capacity following its OCI acquisition.
  • The company's expertise in methanol-fueled shipping and the development of robust safety protocols positions it as a leading player supporting the marine industry's transition to low-carbon fuels amid tightening global regulations.
  • We'll explore how Methanex's expanded marine fuel partnerships could influence its long-term investment narrative and demand outlook.

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Methanex Investment Narrative Recap

Owning Methanex stock means believing in its ability to grow through expanding demand for low-carbon methanol, operational scale, and execution on acquisitions like OCI. The recent expansion of marine fuel partnerships in Europe and Asia builds on Methanex’s core expertise, but does not materially alter the short-term focus on maximizing supply reliability or relieve risks tied to feedstock gas access, which remains pivotal for near-term margins and volumes.

Among Methanex’s updates, the September 2025 partnership with TankMatch for methanol bunkering stands out, as it could strengthen the case for marine fuel-driven growth catalysts, particularly as global decarbonization accelerates. However, the most impactful underlying drivers remain operational efficiency at key sites and successful integration of OCI, ongoing efforts that anchor Methanex’s performance beyond market headlines.

By contrast, investors should be cautious of risks related to feedstock gas supply issues in Chile or Egypt, as these...

Read the full narrative on Methanex (it's free!)

Methanex's narrative projects $4.6 billion revenue and $421.9 million earnings by 2028. This requires 6.9% yearly revenue growth and a $257.9 million earnings increase from $164.0 million today.

Uncover how Methanex's forecasts yield a CA$75.66 fair value, a 37% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

TSX:MX Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025
TSX:MX Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025

Three individual members from the Simply Wall St Community provided fair value estimates ranging from CA$56 to CA$91.99 per share. While opinions differ broadly on Methanex’s potential, risks around feedstock gas contracts could be a focal point for anyone considering the stock’s ability to sustain future production and earnings.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Methanex - why the stock might be worth just CA$56.00!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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