Stock Analysis

3 TSX Stocks Trading Up To 27.3% Below Intrinsic Value Estimates

TSX:ATRL
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The Canadian market has been riding a wave of optimism, with the TSX reaching all-time highs last week, driven by factors such as the U.S. Fed's recent rate cut and ongoing AI enthusiasm. Amidst this buoyant market environment, identifying undervalued stocks becomes crucial for investors seeking opportunities that may offer potential growth at a discount.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Canada

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Computer Modelling Group (TSX:CMG)CA$11.11CA$22.0349.6%
Endeavour Mining (TSX:EDV)CA$32.42CA$62.2247.9%
Viemed Healthcare (TSX:VMD)CA$10.45CA$20.0848%
Real Matters (TSX:REAL)CA$9.34CA$17.5046.6%
Kinaxis (TSX:KXS)CA$158.77CA$279.2643.1%
Bragg Gaming Group (TSX:BRAG)CA$6.73CA$10.5936.5%
Blackline Safety (TSX:BLN)CA$5.83CA$10.9947%
Lithium Royalty (TSX:LIRC)CA$5.80CA$8.7533.7%
Boyd Group Services (TSX:BYD)CA$206.00CA$335.7638.6%
Opsens (TSX:OPS)CA$2.90CA$4.6437.5%

Click here to see the full list of 22 stocks from our Undervalued TSX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's explore several standout options from the results in the screener.

AtkinsRéalis Group (TSX:ATRL)

Overview: AtkinsRéalis Group (TSX:ATRL) operates as an integrated professional services and project management company worldwide, with a market cap of CA$9.62 billion.

Operations: AtkinsRéalis generates revenue from four main segments: Capital (CA$127.40 million), Nuclear (CA$1.20 billion), LSTK Projects (CA$318.44 million), and Segment Adjustment (CA$7.46 billion).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 27.3%

AtkinsRéalis Group (CA$55.72) is trading 27.3% below its estimated fair value of CA$76.66, indicating it may be undervalued based on cash flows. Despite a forecasted low Return on Equity of 13.5% in three years, the company's earnings are expected to grow significantly at 26.31% annually, outpacing the Canadian market's growth rate of 14.9%. Recent major contracts and strategic executive appointments bolster its growth prospects and financial stability amidst a robust backlog and raised earnings guidance for 2024.

TSX:ATRL Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024
TSX:ATRL Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Ivanhoe Mines (TSX:IVN)

Overview: Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. focuses on the mining, development, and exploration of minerals and precious metals primarily in Africa, with a market cap of CA$27.18 billion.

Operations: Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. generates revenue through mining, development, and exploration of minerals and precious metals primarily in Africa.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 13.4%

Ivanhoe Mines (CA$20.3) is trading 13.4% below its fair value estimate of CA$23.44, reflecting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. With forecasted annual revenue growth of 84% and earnings growth of 67.9%, the company significantly outpaces the Canadian market's averages. Recent developments like the MOU with Zambia’s Ministry of Mines and record production at Kamoa-Kakula bolster its growth outlook, despite past shareholder dilution and a modest return on equity forecast of 17.5%.

TSX:IVN Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024
TSX:IVN Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Paramount Resources (TSX:POU)

Overview: Paramount Resources Ltd. explores for and develops conventional and unconventional petroleum and natural gas reserves in Canada, with a market cap of CA$3.87 billion.

Operations: Paramount Resources generates revenue from the exploration and development of conventional and unconventional petroleum and natural gas reserves in Canada.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 20.7%

Paramount Resources (CA$27.15) trades 20.7% below its fair value estimate of CA$34.23, indicating significant undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite a dividend yield of 6.63% not being well covered by free cash flows and shareholder dilution over the past year, the company’s earnings are forecast to grow 27.48% annually, outpacing the Canadian market's average growth rate of 14.9%. Recent earnings reports show increased revenue and net income compared to last year, supporting its strong cash flow position.

TSX:POU Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024
TSX:POU Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Where To Now?

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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