Ivanhoe Mines Future Growth
Future criteria checks 5/6
Ivanhoe Mines is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 55.1% and 31% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 42.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.6% in 3 years.
Key information
55.1%
Earnings growth rate
42.70%
EPS growth rate
| Metals and Mining earnings growth | 18.6% |
| Revenue growth rate | 31.0% |
| Future return on equity | 10.61% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 07 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 04
IVN: Future Copper Output Will Improve As Key Mine Plan Resets
Ivanhoe Mines' updated analyst price target has shifted lower by roughly CA$3.80, as analysts incorporate higher discount rates and more measured assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E into their models following a mix of price target cuts, downgrades and one recent upward revision. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Ivanhoe Mines has been active, with multiple price target changes and rating adjustments clustered over a short period.
Narrative Update • Apr 20
IVN: Long Life Copper Projects Will Support Future Cash Flow Expansion
The Street’s average fair value estimate for Ivanhoe Mines has edged down by CA$0.36 as analysts trim price targets in response to higher life of mine cost assumptions and slightly lower projected revenue growth, even as modeled profit margins and future P/E inputs remain supportive in their frameworks. Analyst Commentary Street research on Ivanhoe Mines in recent months has leaned toward more cautious price targets and several downgrades, primarily tied to higher life of mine cost and capex assumptions at key projects.Narrative Update • Apr 05
IVN: Long Life Copper Assets Will Support Future Cash Flow Expansion
The analyst fair value estimate for Ivanhoe Mines has moved from CA$23.89 to CA$19.04. This reflects a series of lower Street price targets and downgrades as analysts factor in higher life of mine operating costs, increased capex at Kamoa Kakula, and updated assumptions for growth, margins and future P/E.Narrative Update • Mar 21
IVN: Long Term Copper Projects Will Support Future Cash Flow Expansion
Ivanhoe Mines' updated analyst price target has been trimmed slightly to CA$23.89 from CA$23.91, as analysts factor in higher life of mine operating costs and capex at Kamoa Kakula, alongside a mix of recent target cuts and raises across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ivanhoe Mines presents a mixed picture, with some firms pulling back on targets and ratings, while others continue to see upside potential tied to project execution and long term growth prospects at Kamoa Kakula.
New Narrative • Mar 20
A case for Ivanhoe Mines Ltd hitting C$55 by 2031. If the S&P doesn't crash we could be seeing twice that figure!
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. (TSX:IVN) Stock Analysis – March 2026 (as of latest 2025 AFS and Q4 updates) Ivanhoe is a Tier-1 copper/PGM/zinc developer-producer with world-class assets: Kamoa-Kakula (world’s highest-grade large-scale copper complex, DRC; Ivanhoe effective 39.6% via Zijin JV), Platreef (one of the world’s largest/lowest-cost PGM-Ni-Cu-Au-Rh mines, South Africa; Ivanhoe 64%), and Kipushi (ultra-high-grade zinc-copper-germanium, DRC; Ivanhoe ~62-68%).Narrative Update • Mar 07
IVN: Long Term Copper Projects Will Support Future Cash Flow Expansion
The updated analyst price target for Ivanhoe Mines now sits at about CA$23.91, reflecting a small reduction of roughly CA$0.08 as analysts factor in higher discount rates, more conservative profit margins, and revised long term P/E expectations, even as they incorporate higher projected revenue growth into their models. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ivanhoe Mines shows a mix of caution and optimism, with some firms trimming price targets and others lifting theirs.Narrative Update • Feb 21
IVN: Rising Metals Assumptions Will Support Long Term Copper Output Expansion
Ivanhoe Mines' updated analyst price target edges higher to CA$23.99 from CA$23.80. This reflects analysts' mixed adjustments to revenue growth, margins, future P/E assumptions and recent research that includes both higher cost expectations and refreshed price targets across the Street.Narrative Update • Feb 06
IVN: Higher Metals Price Assumptions Will Support Multi Year Copper Production Ramp
Narrative Update The analyst price target for Ivanhoe Mines has been lifted by about $0.94, with analysts pointing to refreshed sector price forecasts, an updated fair value of $23.80, a slightly higher discount rate of 7.48% and a modestly higher future P/E of 35.06x as key drivers of the change. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ivanhoe Mines has leaned positive, with several bullish analysts lifting their price targets and pointing to refreshed sector assumptions to support higher valuation levels.Narrative Update • Jan 23
IVN: Higher Metals Price Assumptions Will Support Major Copper Production Ramp
Analysts have lifted their price targets on Ivanhoe Mines by roughly C$3 to reflect updated fair value estimates of about $22.86 versus $20.66 previously, citing refreshed metals price forecasts and a mixed macro backdrop, with softer Chinese demand but potential offset from recovering demand in the U.S. and Europe. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are framing the recent price target moves as a reset of fair value that better reflects updated metals price assumptions and Ivanhoe Mines' project portfolio.Narrative Update • Jan 08
IVN: Future Copper Output Will Strengthen As Kamoa Kakula Expansion Advances
Narrative Update The analyst price target for Ivanhoe Mines has moved modestly higher to $18.03 from $17.95, as analysts factor in refreshed sector price forecasts, a slightly lower discount rate, marginally higher revenue growth and profit margin assumptions, and updated P/E expectations against a mixed global demand backdrop. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Ivanhoe Mines points to a generally constructive tone, with price targets refreshed and some macro risks still front of mind for investors.Analysis Article • Dec 24
After Leaping 27% Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. (TSE:IVN) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. ( TSE:IVN ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting...Narrative Update • Dec 15
IVN: Future Copper Output Will Accelerate As High-Grade Kamoa-Kakula Ramps Up
Analysts modestly trim our fair value estimate for Ivanhoe Mines to $17.95 from $18.55 even as Street price targets move higher, reflecting slightly higher discount rates and narrower long term margin assumptions, alongside optimism about improved copper pricing and production growth. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has been broadly constructive on Ivanhoe Mines, with multiple bullish analysts lifting price targets in both U.S. dollar and Canadian dollar terms while reiterating positive ratings.Narrative Update • Dec 01
IVN: Copper Output Will Accelerate Following Ramp-Up At High-Grade Kamoa-Kakula
Ivanhoe Mines’ analyst price target has recently inched higher, with the fair value estimate rising from $18.40 to $18.55. Analysts cite improved copper output expectations and higher commodity price forecasts as reasons for the increase.Narrative Update • Nov 17
IVN: Copper Price Surge And Operational Recovery Will Support 2027 Output Expansion
Ivanhoe Mines' analyst price target has seen an upward revision. The consensus has moved higher by several Canadian dollars as analysts cite improving copper price forecasts and increased comfort with the operational outlook following recent site visits.Analysis Article • Nov 02
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. ( TSE:IVN ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 5.4% to...Narrative Update • Nov 01
IVN: Higher Copper Production Will Drive Earnings And Performance In 2025
The analyst price target for Ivanhoe Mines has increased from C$18.05 to C$18.43. Analysts cite improved confidence in operational resilience and stronger profit margins as key drivers of this upward revision.Narrative Update • Oct 18
Kamoa-Kakula And Platreef Projects Will Improve Operational Efficiency
The consensus analyst price target for Ivanhoe Mines has increased from C$16.73 to C$18.05. This change reflects improved outlooks for copper prices and operational performance according to recent analyst updates.Narrative Update • Oct 04
Kamoa-Kakula And Platreef Projects Will Improve Operational Efficiency
The average analyst price target for Ivanhoe Mines has been raised from approximately C$15.57 to C$16.73. This change reflects increased optimism from analysts following recent site visits and improved confidence in the company's operational outlook.Narrative Update • Sep 19
Kamoa-Kakula And Platreef Projects Will Improve Operational Efficiency
Ivanhoe Mines' consensus price target was modestly raised to CA$15.57, reflecting improved outlooks for gold and copper prices, heightened confidence in asset execution, and strengthened sentiment for commodity-linked equities. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite gold's relative upside potential, forecasting a tactical gold price of $3,800/oz within 6–12 months, which is expected to benefit gold equities like Ivanhoe Mines.Narrative Update • Sep 04
Kamoa-Kakula And Platreef Projects Will Improve Operational Efficiency
Despite ongoing bullishness from analysts on gold equities, higher commodity price assumptions, and robust copper demand projections, Ivanhoe Mines’ consensus analyst price target saw only a marginal reduction from CA$15.45 to CA$15.33. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite strong upside for gold equities, with the view that gold stocks could significantly outperform gold itself and the broader S&P 500 within the next 6-12 months.New Narrative • Jun 15
Kamoa-Kakula And Platreef Ramp-Ups Will Secure Future Copper Supply
Substantial copper production growth, margin expansion, and revenue gains are expected from operational improvements, stable power, and major project ramp-ups at key mining sites.Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,387 | 985 | 400 | 488 | 4 |
| 12/31/2027 | 1,050 | 705 | -91 | 587 | 7 |
| 12/31/2026 | 857 | 428 | -396 | 522 | 8 |
| 3/31/2026 | 530 | 132 | -476 | -144 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 442 | 262 | -469 | -127 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 344 | 306 | -512 | -173 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 215 | 391 | -545 | -168 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 118 | 423 | -613 | -190 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 41 | 228 | -644 | -152 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | N/A | 157 | -599 | -63 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | N/A | 151 | -598 | -42 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | N/A | 167 | -572 | -25 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | N/A | 319 | -509 | -32 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | N/A | 333 | -440 | -25 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | N/A | 247 | -127 | 196 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | N/A | 471 | -33 | 177 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | N/A | 411 | 18 | 177 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | N/A | 415 | 122 | 221 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | N/A | 478 | -84 | -18 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | N/A | 58 | -76 | -11 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | N/A | 55 | -60 | -7 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | N/A | 4 | -114 | -73 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | N/A | -87 | -102 | -59 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | N/A | 13 | -100 | -62 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | N/A | -20 | -102 | -60 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | N/A | -8 | -102 | -42 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | N/A | -4 | -112 | -38 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | N/A | 4 | -116 | -21 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | N/A | 19 | N/A | -12 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | N/A | 52 | N/A | -22 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | N/A | 48 | N/A | -15 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | N/A | 38 | N/A | -13 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | N/A | 26 | N/A | -15 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | N/A | 183 | N/A | -18 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | N/A | 174 | N/A | -28 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | N/A | 171 | N/A | -37 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | N/A | 170 | N/A | -39 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | N/A | -40 | N/A | -37 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | N/A | -38 | N/A | -36 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | N/A | -35 | N/A | -29 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | N/A | -32 | N/A | -31 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | N/A | 708 | N/A | -32 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | N/A | 705 | N/A | -34 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | N/A | 705 | N/A | -38 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | N/A | 696 | N/A | -45 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | N/A | -56 | N/A | -75 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: IVN's forecast earnings growth (55.1% per year) is above the savings rate (3%).
Earnings vs Market: IVN's earnings (55.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (11% per year).
High Growth Earnings: IVN's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: IVN's revenue (31% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (4.8% per year).
High Growth Revenue: IVN's revenue (31% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: IVN's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (10.6%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 08:04 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. is covered by 27 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Paul Joseph Gait | Bernstein |
| Andrew Mikitchook | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |
| Alexander Robert Pearce | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |