Stock Analysis

Here's Why Fortune Minerals (TSE:FT) Can Afford Some Debt

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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Fortune Minerals Limited (TSE:FT) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Fortune Minerals

How Much Debt Does Fortune Minerals Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2021 Fortune Minerals had CA$10.7m of debt, an increase on CA$9.30m, over one year. However, it does have CA$1.05m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CA$9.67m.

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TSX:FT Debt to Equity History September 2nd 2021

A Look At Fortune Minerals' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Fortune Minerals had liabilities of CA$454.6k due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$13.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$1.05m as well as receivables valued at CA$75.1k due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$13.0m.

This deficit isn't so bad because Fortune Minerals is worth CA$47.6m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Fortune Minerals will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Since Fortune Minerals has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Fortune Minerals had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CA$1.2m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CA$1.3m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Fortune Minerals (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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