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- TSX:AG
First Majestic Silver Corp.'s (TSE:FR) Share Price Matching Investor Opinion
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 3x in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about First Majestic Silver Corp.'s (TSE:FR) P/S ratio, which comes in at about the same. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
View our latest analysis for First Majestic Silver
How Has First Majestic Silver Performed Recently?
For example, consider that First Majestic Silver's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on First Majestic Silver's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For First Majestic Silver?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, First Majestic Silver would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 2.5%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 72% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Weighing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 19% shows it's about the same on an annualised basis.
With this information, we can see why First Majestic Silver is trading at a fairly similar P/S to the industry. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on assuming the company will continue keeping a low profile.
What Does First Majestic Silver's P/S Mean For Investors?
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
It appears to us that First Majestic Silver maintains its moderate P/S off the back of its recent three-year growth being in line with the wider industry forecast. Currently, with a past revenue trend that aligns closely wit the industry outlook, shareholders are confident the company's future revenue outlook won't contain any major surprises. Given the current circumstances, it seems improbable that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for First Majestic Silver that you need to take into consideration.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:AG
First Majestic Silver
Engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties with a focus on silver and gold production in North America.
High growth potential and good value.