Recent Insider Transactions • May 14
Independent Director recently sold CA$418k worth of stock On the 12th of May, Lyle Braaten sold around 10k shares on-market at roughly CA$41.80 per share. This transaction amounted to 3.8% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have been net sellers, collectively disposing of CA$5.7m more than they bought in the last 12 months. Live News • May 13
Ero Copper Delivers Solid Q1 2026 Production and Revenue With Lower Net Debt Ero Copper reported Q1 2026 consolidated copper production of 17,287 tonnes and gold production of 5,495 ounces, supported by ongoing infrastructure work at the Xavantina operation.
Net debt declined 60% year over year, bringing the net leverage ratio to 1.0x, while revenue was more than 110% higher year over year, helped by higher metal prices, foreign exchange gains and operational performance.
The company reaffirmed its 2026 copper production guidance of 67,500 to 77,500 tonnes and expects capital expenditures of $275 million to $320 million. It is also advancing the Furnas Copper-Gold Project and tailings filtration expansion at Tucumã, and reported a four-year lost-time injury-free record at Tucumã.
The combination of higher revenue, reduced leverage and reaffirmed guidance indicates that the company is allocating capital to growth projects while seeking to keep balance sheet risk in check.
Investors may want to monitor how capital spending on Furnas, Tucumã and Xavantina affects future production metrics and whether earnings trends align more consistently with analyst expectations. Major Estimate Revision • May 13
Consensus revenue estimates fall by 12% The consensus outlook for revenues in fiscal year 2026 has deteriorated. 2026 revenue forecast decreased from US$1.41b to US$1.24b. EPS estimate fell from US$4.79 to US$4.19 per share. Net income forecast to grow 60% next year vs 31% growth forecast for Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Consensus price target of CA$48.18 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 15% to CA$42.50 over the past week. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • May 11
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 17% After last week's 17% share price gain to CA$38.96, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7x. Average forward P/E is 5x in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Total returns to shareholders of 57% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CA$29.47 per share. Reported Earnings • May 06
First quarter 2026 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations First quarter 2026 results: EPS: US$1.04 (up from US$0.78 in 1Q 2025). Revenue: US$263.2m (up 110% from 1Q 2025). Net income: US$108.8m (up 36% from 1Q 2025). Profit margin: 41% (down from 64% in 1Q 2025). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 4.8%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 84%. Revenue is forecast to grow 7.8% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 18% growth forecast for the Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 47% per year but the company’s share price has only increased by 14% per year, which means it is significantly lagging earnings growth. Announcement • May 06
Ero Copper Corp. Maintains Consolidated Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2026 Ero Copper Corp. maintained consolidated production guidance for the fiscal year 2026. For the year, the company's Consolidated copper production guidance is maintained at 67,500 tonnes to 77,500 tonnes. Buy Or Sell Opportunity • May 05
Now 20% overvalued Over the last 90 days, the stock has fallen 27% to CA$35.14. The fair value is estimated to be CA$29.27, however this is not to be taken as a sell recommendation but rather should be used as a guide only. Revenue has grown by 17% over the last 3 years. Meanwhile, the company has become profitable. For the next 3 years, revenue is forecast to grow by 12% per annum. Earnings are also forecast to grow by 15% per annum over the same time period. Major Estimate Revision • Apr 07
Consensus EPS estimates increase by 12% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2026 has improved. 2026 revenue forecast increased from US$1.21b to US$1.22b. EPS estimate increased from US$3.95 to US$4.41 per share. Net income forecast to grow 73% next year vs 36% growth forecast for Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Consensus price target of CA$47.49 unchanged from last update. Share price rose 14% to CA$39.46 over the past week. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Apr 02
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15% After last week's 15% share price gain to CA$39.06, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6x. Average forward P/E is 5x in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Total returns to shareholders of 64% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CA$75.50 per share. Announcement • Apr 02
Ero Copper Corp. to Report Q1, 2026 Results on May 04, 2026 Ero Copper Corp. announced that they will report Q1, 2026 results After-Market on May 04, 2026 Major Estimate Revision • Mar 12
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 24% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2026 has been updated. 2026 EPS estimate fell from US$5.22 to US$3.99 per share. Revenue forecast steady at US$1.24b. Net income forecast to grow 68% next year vs 33% growth forecast for Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Consensus price target of CA$47.90 unchanged from last update. Share price fell 12% to CA$38.02 over the past week. Reported Earnings • Mar 06
Full year 2025 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations Full year 2025 results: EPS: US$2.54 (up from US$0.66 loss in FY 2024). Revenue: US$785.8m (up 67% from FY 2024). Net income: US$263.7m (up US$332.2m from FY 2024). Profit margin: 34% (up from net loss in FY 2024). The move to profitability was primarily driven by higher revenue. Revenue was in line with analyst estimates. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates by 12%. Revenue is forecast to grow 4.0% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 20% growth forecast for the Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 18% per year whereas the company’s share price has increased by 17% per year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Feb 26
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to CA$47.05, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7x. Average forward P/E is 8x in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Total returns to shareholders of 102% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CA$75.25 per share. Announcement • Feb 24
Ero Copper Corp. Announces Inaugural PEA for Furnas, Outlines Low Capital Intensity Project with A 24-Year Initial Mine Life Ero Copper Corp. announced results of the Preliminary Economic Assessment ("PEA") on the Furnas Copper-Gold Project ("Furnas" or the "Project"), located in the Carajas Mineral Province in Para State, Brazil. The PEA outlines the potential for a large-scale, long-life copper-gold operation with a robust production profile and exceptional economics, reinforcing Furnas as a cornerstone asset within the Company's organic growth pipeline. Furnas is being advanced in partnership with Vale Base Metals ("VBM") pursuant to an earn-in agreement wherein the Company will earn a 60% interest upon completion of the prescribed work programs. 24-year initial mine life based on an updated mineral resource estimate that remains open to depth and laterally along strike. Average annual copper equivalent production of approximately 108,000 tonnes over the first 15 years of operation, including approximately 70,000 tonnes of copper, 111,000 ounces of gold, and 532,000 ounces of silver per year. Announcement • Feb 06
Ero Copper Corp. Provides Consolidated Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2026 Ero Copper Corp. provided consolidated production guidance for the fiscal year 2026. For the year, the company expects Consolidated copper production is expected to be in the range of 67,500 to 77,500 tonnes, representing an increase of up to 20% compared to 2025. Guidance reflects higher sustained plant throughput and lower planned grades at both Caraíba and Tucumã. Consolidated C1 cash costs are expected to be between $2.15 and $2.35 per pound of copper produced. Announcement • Jan 31
Ero Copper Corp. to Report Q4, 2025 Results on Mar 05, 2026 Ero Copper Corp. announced that they will report Q4, 2025 results After-Market on Mar 05, 2026 Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jan 29
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 20% After last week's 20% share price gain to CA$51.21, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 8x. Average forward P/E is 9x in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Total returns to shareholders of 141% over the past three years. Simply Wall St's valuation model estimates the intrinsic value at CA$65.66 per share. Recent Insider Transactions • Jan 28
Independent Director recently sold CA$1.3m worth of stock On the 23rd of January, Robert Hinman Getz sold around 30k shares on-market at roughly CA$44.79 per share. This transaction amounted to 23% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. In the last 3 months, there was an even bigger sale from another insider worth CA$1.4m. Insiders have been net sellers, collectively disposing of CA$4.5m more than they bought in the last 12 months. Announcement • Jan 27
Ero Copper Corp., Annual General Meeting, Apr 23, 2026 Ero Copper Corp., Annual General Meeting, Apr 23, 2026. Price Target Changed • Jan 22
Price target increased by 7.1% to CA$41.30 Up from CA$38.57, the current price target is an average from 15 analysts. New target price is approximately in line with last closing price of CA$42.62. Stock is up 108% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of US$3.00 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$0.66 last year. Recent Insider Transactions • Jan 06
Independent Lead Director recently sold CA$1.4m worth of stock On the 5th of January, John Wright sold around 35k shares on-market at roughly CA$41.11 per share. This transaction amounted to 7.8% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have been net sellers, collectively disposing of CA$2.7m more than they bought in the last 12 months. Recent Insider Transactions • Nov 30
Independent Director recently sold CA$1.3m worth of stock On the 28th of November, Lyle Braaten sold around 37k shares on-market at roughly CA$35.22 per share. This transaction amounted to 12% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have been net sellers, collectively disposing of CA$1.0m more than they bought in the last 12 months. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Nov 27
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15% After last week's 15% share price gain to CA$33.97, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6x. Average forward P/E is 7x in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Total returns to shareholders of 92% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • Nov 06
Third quarter 2025 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind Third quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$0.35 (down from US$0.40 in 3Q 2024). Revenue: US$177.1m (up 42% from 3Q 2024). Net income: US$36.0m (down 12% from 3Q 2024). Profit margin: 20% (down from 33% in 3Q 2024). The decrease in margin was driven by higher expenses. Revenue missed analyst estimates by 3.0%. Earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by 23%. Revenue is forecast to grow 14% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 18% growth forecast for the Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 26% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 21% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Announcement • Nov 05
Ero Copper Corp. Provides Production Guidance for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Ero Copper Corp. provided production guidance for the Fourth quarter and full Year 2025. For the full year The company maintained guidance with overall production expected at the low end of the 67,500 to 80,000-tonne range.
Production in Fourth Quarter 2025 is expected to improve due to increased plant throughput at both the Caraíba and Tucumã Operations, with Tucumã also expected to benefit from mine sequencing in higher grade blocks of the open pit. Announcement • Oct 08
Ero Copper Corp. to Report Q3, 2025 Results on Nov 04, 2025 Ero Copper Corp. announced that they will report Q3, 2025 results at 4:00 PM, US Eastern Standard Time on Nov 04, 2025 Price Target Changed • Oct 06
Price target increased by 7.8% to CA$28.21 Up from CA$26.16, the current price target is an average from 14 analysts. New target price is 6.7% below last closing price of CA$30.23. Stock is up 6.1% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of US$2.91 next year compared to a net loss per share of US$0.66 last year. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 29
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16% After last week's 16% share price gain to CA$27.79, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 7x. Average forward P/E is 8x in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Total returns to shareholders of 80% over the past three years. Announcement • Sep 18
Ero Copper Corp. Announces the Remaining Assay Results from Its 28,000-Meter Phase 1 Drill Program At the Furnas Copper-Gold Project Ero Copper Corp. announced the remaining assay results from its 28,000-meter Phase 1 drill program at the Furnas Copper-Gold Project ("Furnas" or the "Project"), located in the Carajas Mineral Province in Para State, Brazil. Complete results from the Phase 1 program are highlighted by intercepts that continue to demonstrate high-grade continuity throughout the deposit as well as significantly extend the known limits of mineralization within the high-grade zones (greater than 1% CuEq1) to depth. New Phase 1 program drill results are highlighted by: FURN-DD-00322: 115 meters at 0.76% copper and 0.47 grams per tonne ("gpt") gold (0.98% CuEq1), including 46 meters at 0.81% copper and 0.56 gpt gold (1.11% CuEq1) and 28 meters at 0.91% copper and 0.71 gpt gold (1.25% CuEq1). Ero expects to complete the 17,000-meter Phase 2 drill program in early Fourth Quarter 2025, approximately three months ahead of schedule. The complete results from the Phase 1 drill program will serve as the foundation for an updated NI 43-101 compliant mineral resource estimate as well as a preliminary economic assessment ("PEA") of the Project. Using a 1.00% copper equivalent cut-off grade, the mineral resource estimate, effective June 30, 2024, totaled: Indicated Mineral Resource: 35.2 million tonnes grading 1.04% copper and 0.69 gpt gold (1.36% CuEq1), containing an estimated 364,700 tonnes of copper and 775,300 ounces of gold; Inferred Mineral Resource: 61.3 million tonnes grading 1.06% copper and 0.63 gpt gold (1. 36% CuEq1),containing an estimated 647,400 tonnes of copper and 1,235,600 ounces of gold. For additional information on the Project's mineral resource estimate, please see the Company's press release dated October 2, 2024 as well as the corresponding technical report titled "Furnas Copper Project - Para State, Brazil - NI 43-101 Mineral Resource Estimate Technical Report", dated November 18, 2024 with an effective date of June 30, 2024, prepared for the Company by Anderson Goncalves Candido, FAusIMM of RPMGlobal Canada Limited ("RPM"). All sample results from the Phase 1 drill programs have been monitored through a quality assurance and quality control ("QA/QC") program that includes adherence to the internal operational procedures and the insertion of certified standards, blanks and duplicates at a rate of three standards, one coarse blank, one fine blank, one field duplicate, one coarse duplicate, and one pulp duplicate for every 50 total samples, yielding a blended QC rate of approximately 16%. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Sep 11
Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 15% After last week's 15% share price gain to CA$23.40, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 6x. Average forward P/E is 8x in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Total returns to shareholders of 69% over the past three years. Reported Earnings • Aug 01
Second quarter 2025 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations Second quarter 2025 results: EPS: US$0.68 (up from US$0.52 loss in 2Q 2024). Revenue: US$163.5m (up 40% from 2Q 2024). Net income: US$70.5m (up US$123.8m from 2Q 2024). Profit margin: 43% (up from net loss in 2Q 2024). The move to profitability was primarily driven by lower expenses. Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 3.7%. Earnings per share (EPS) also surpassed analyst estimates by 102%. Revenue is forecast to grow 15% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 16% growth forecast for the Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 53% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 15% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Announcement • Aug 01
Ero Copper Corp. Reaffirms Production Guidance for the Year 2025 Ero Copper Corp. reaffirmed production guidance for the year 2025. The company is reaffirming full-year guidance at Caraíba, and updating guidance ranges at Tucumã and Xavantina to reflect H1 2025 performance.
At the Caraíba Operations, programs launched in H1 2025 to enhance operating efficiency and cost control are delivering strong margin performance compared to full-year guidance. These ongoing initiatives include (i) focusing the Pilar Mine's fleet on the upper levels of the mine to reduce haul distances, (ii) implementing new technologies aimed at enhancing both safety and productivity, and (iii) improving fleet and mine infrastructure maintenance initiatives to increase mobile equipment availability and reduce unplanned downtime. While these efforts are expected to result in full-year copper production at the lower end of the 37,500 to 42,500 tonne guidance range, C1 cash costs are projected to fall within the lower half of the guidance range of $2.15 to $2.35 per pound. Sequential increases in mined and processed volumes are expected to contribute to higher copper production over the remainder of the year. At the Tucumã Operation, full-year copper production guidance has been updated to 30,000 to 37,500 tonnes at C1 cash costs of $1.10 to $1.30 per pound of copper produced to reflect lower-than-forecast tonnes processed in H1 2025. Updated full-year guidance reflects a significant expected increase in copper production during H2 2025, consistent with original 2025 guidance. At the Xavantina Operations, full-year production guidance has been updated to 40,000 to 50,000 ounces with C1 cash costs of $850 to $1,000 per ounce of gold produced and AISC of $1,800 to $2,000 per ounce to reflect lower-than- planned production in H1 2025. Ongoing investments in mine modernization and mechanization are expected to drive a step-change in mining rates in H2 2025, resulting in higher projected production and lower unit costs that align with the long-term outlook for the operation. Major Estimate Revision • Jul 16
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 17% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2025 has deteriorated. 2025 revenue forecast decreased from US$828.0m to US$799.1m. EPS estimate also fell from US$3.23 per share to US$2.68 per share. Net income forecast to grow 1,321% next year vs 33% growth forecast for Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Consensus price target down from CA$27.00 to CA$25.96. Share price was steady at CA$19.53 over the past week. Announcement • Jul 10
Ero Copper Corp. Announces the Completion of Its Phase 1 Drill Program At the Furnas Copper-Gold Project Ero Copper Corp. announced the completion of its Phase 1 drill program at the Furnas Copper-Gold Project ("Furnas" or the "Project"), located in the Carajas Mineral Province in Para State, Brazil. Initial results from the completed 28,000-meter Phase 1 program are highlighted by significant down-dip intercepts, including: FURN-DD-00284: 105 meters at 1.17% copper and 0.77 grams per tonne ("gpt") gold (1.54% CuEq1), including 63 meters at 1.30% copper and 1.13 gpt gold (1.84% CuEq1), drilled in the Southeast zone at the limit of the previously defined indicated resource; and, FURN-DD-00271: 75 meters at 1.02% copper and 0.59 gpt gold (1.30% CuEq1"), including 30 meters at 1.71% copper and 1.05 gpt gold (2.21% CuEq1), and 15 meters at 2.30% copper and 1.,60 gpt gold (3.06% CuEq1), also drilled in the Southeast zone, approximately 70 meters down-dip from the previously known extent of mineralization. To date, assay results have been received for approximately 10,000 meters of the 28,000-meter drill program. The results continue to both demonstrate continuity and extend the known limits of mineralization within the high-grade mineralized zones (greater than 1% CuEq1) that are the focus of future underground mining operations. Complete results from the program will be released following receipt of all pending assay results. There are currently eight drill rigs operating on the Project, where the Phase 2 drill program is underway. This program is expected to comprise a minimum of 17,000 meters of drilling and includes a greater focus on step-out drilling aimed at further extending known mineralization. The complete results from the Phase 1 drill program will serve as the foundation for an updated NI 43-101 mineral resource estimate as well as a preliminary economic assessment ("PEA") of the Project. Using a 1.00% copper equivalent cut-off grade, the mineral resource estimate, effective June 30, 2024, totaled: Indicated Mineral Resource: 35.2 million tonnes grading 1.04% copper and 0.69 gpt gold (1.36% CuEq1), containing an estimated 364,700 tonnes of copper and 775,300 ounces of gold; Inferred Mineral Resource: 61.3 million tonnes grading 1.06% copper and 0.63 gpt gold (1. 36% CuEq1), consisting an estimated 647,400 tonnes of copper and 1,235,600 ounces of gold. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jul 09
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 18% After last week's 18% share price decline to CA$19.51, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 4x. Average forward P/E is 7x in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Total returns to shareholders of 74% over the past three years. New Risk • Jul 03
New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth Earnings have declined by 20% per year over the past 5 years. This is considered a major risk. Ultimately, shareholders want to see a good return on their investment and that generally comes from sharing in the company's profits. If profits are declining over an extended period, then in most cases the share price will decline over time unless the company can turn around its fortunes. A trend of falling earnings can be very difficult to turn around. If the company is well already established it may also be a sign the company has matured and is in decline. In addition, if the company pays dividends it will also likely need to reduce or cut them, striking a dual blow to total shareholder returns. Currently, the following risks have been identified for the company: Major Risk Earnings have declined by 20% per year over the past 5 years. Minor Risks High level of debt (78% net debt to equity). Profit margins are more than 30% lower than last year (3.9% net profit margin). Announcement • Jul 03
Ero Copper Corp Achieves Commercial Production At Tucum Operation Ero Copper Corp. announced that the Tucum Operation, located in Par State, Brazil, achieved commercial production, effective July 1, 2025. During the month of June, following the completion of commissioning of the third filter press as well as modifications to the process plant, the operation achieved sustained throughput levels exceeding 75% of design capacity. Copper production at Tucum totaled approximately 6,400 tonnes during the second quarter, including approximately 2,000 tonnes of copper produced during the second half of June. Metallurgical recovery rates and copper concentrate grades have continued to meet or exceed design targets. The Company expects plant throughput volumes to continue increasing through year-end, supporting sequential growth in copper production during the second half of the year. Announcement • Jun 25
Ero Copper Corp. to Report Q2, 2025 Results on Jul 31, 2025 Ero Copper Corp. announced that they will report Q2, 2025 results After-Market on Jul 31, 2025 Reported Earnings • May 07
First quarter 2025 earnings released First quarter 2025 results: Net income: (up US$7.14m from 1Q 2024). Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 98 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Announcement • May 06
Ero Copper Corp. Reaffirms Consolidated Production Guidance for the Year 2025 Ero Copper Corp. reaffirmed consolidated production guidance for the year 2025. Consolidated copper production for 2025 is expected to increase sequentially each quarter, with full-year production projected to range between 75,000 and 85,000 tonnes. At the Tucumã Operation, production is anticipated to increase sequentially throughout the year, with higher mill throughput volumes expected to offset a gradual decline in processed copper grades. At the Caraíba Operations, the Company achieved targeted mining rates at the Pilar Mine in March 2025 and completed the mobilization of a second underground development contractor during the quarter. As a result, higher mined and processed tonnage is expected to be sustained for the remainder of the year. At the Xavantina Operations, the Company is also reaffirming production guidance of 50,000 to 60,000 ounces with higher processed tonnage and improved gold grades projected to support increased gold production and lower unit operating costs through the balance of the year. Announcement • Apr 02
Ero Copper Corp. to Report Q1, 2025 Results on May 05, 2025 Ero Copper Corp. announced that they will report Q1, 2025 results After-Market on May 05, 2025 Reported Earnings • Mar 07
Full year 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations Full year 2024 results: US$0.66 loss per share (down from US$0.99 profit in FY 2023). Revenue: US$470.3m (up 10.0% from FY 2023). Net loss: US$68.5m (down 174% from profit in FY 2023). Production and reserves: Copper Production: 40,600 t (43,857 t in FY 2023) Proved and probable reserves (ore): 82.77 Mt (122 Mt in FY 2023) Number of mines: 2 (2 in FY 2023) Gold Production: 57.21 troy koz (59.222 troy koz in FY 2023) Number of mines: 1 (1 in FY 2023) Silver Production: 33.927 troy koz (37.674 troy koz in FY 2023) Number of mines: 1 (1 in FY 2023) Revenue missed analyst estimates by 1.2%. Earnings per share (EPS) were also behind analyst expectations. Revenue is forecast to grow 19% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 15% growth forecast for the Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Over the last 3 years on average, the company's share price growth rate has exceeded its earnings growth rate by 78 percentage points per year, which is a significant difference in performance. Major Estimate Revision • Feb 14
Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 11% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 revenue forecast fell from US$536.7m to US$477.9m. EPS estimate unchanged from US$0.026 per share at last update. Metals and Mining industry in Canada expected to see average net income growth of 22% next year. Consensus price target down from CA$30.27 to CA$27.59. Share price rose 7.4% to CA$20.50 over the past week. Price Target Changed • Feb 12
Price target decreased by 7.3% to CA$28.27 Down from CA$30.50, the current price target is an average from 11 analysts. New target price is 50% above last closing price of CA$18.82. Stock is down 3.6% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of US$0.026 for next year compared to US$0.99 last year. Announcement • Feb 12
Ero Copper Corp. Provides Consolidated Production Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2025, 2026 and 2027 Ero Copper Corp. provided consolidated production guidance for the fiscal year 2025, 2026 and 2027. For the year 2025, consolidated copper production is expected to increase by approximately 85% to 110% year-on-year to a range of 75,000 and 85,000 tonnes at consolidated C1 cash costs between $1.55 and $1.80 per pound of copper produced with the Tucumã Operation expected to achieve commercial production in first half of 2025. The Xavantina Operations are expected to produce 50,000 to 60,000 ounces of gold at C1 cash costs between $650 and $800 per ounce of gold produced and all-in sustaining costs ("AISC") between $1,400 and $1,600 per ounce of gold produced.
Consolidated copper production across the company's operations is expected to reach between 85,000 and 95,000 tonnes in concentrate in 2026 and 2027. The Xavantina Operations are expected to sustain annual gold production levels of 50,000 to 60,000 ounces through 2027. Announcement • Feb 11
Ero Copper Corp., Annual General Meeting, Apr 24, 2025 Ero Copper Corp., Annual General Meeting, Apr 24, 2025. Location: british columbia., vancouver Canada Major Estimate Revision • Feb 07
Consensus EPS estimates fall by 62% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 EPS estimate fell from US$0.372 to US$0.14. Revenue forecast unchanged from US$522.7m at last update. Net income forecast to grow 1,273% next year vs 29% growth forecast for Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Consensus price target broadly unchanged at CA$29.91. Share price was steady at CA$19.08 over the past week. Announcement • Feb 06
Ero Copper Corp. to Report Q4, 2024 Results on Mar 06, 2025 Ero Copper Corp. announced that they will report Q4, 2024 results After-Market on Mar 06, 2025 Major Estimate Revision • Jan 24
Consensus EPS estimates increase by 42% The consensus outlook for earnings per share (EPS) in fiscal year 2024 has improved. 2024 revenue forecast increased from US$530.3m to US$538.2m. EPS estimate increased from US$0.415 to US$0.589 per share. Net income forecast to grow 1,826% next year vs 29% growth forecast for Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Consensus price target of CA$31.05 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at CA$20.36 over the past week. Major Estimate Revision • Jan 17
Consensus EPS estimates increase by 15% The consensus outlook for fiscal year 2024 has been updated. 2024 EPS estimate increased from US$0.411 to US$0.474. Revenue forecast steady at US$531.6m. Net income forecast to grow 1,688% next year vs 32% growth forecast for Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Consensus price target of CA$31.05 unchanged from last update. Share price was steady at CA$20.47 over the past week. Announcement • Dec 04
Ero Copper Corp. Announces Updated Mineral Reserve and Resource Estimates for the Xavantina Operations Ero Copper Corp. announced an update of its National Instrument 43-101 compliant mineral reserve and resource estimates for its Xavantina Operations, located in Mato Grosso State, Brazil. The company dual strategy remains focused on extending mine life and discovering new vein structures to expand mine and mill feed, enabling the company to fully utilize the mill's installed capacity of up to 300,000 tonnes per annum. The company's dual strategy remains focused on extending Mine life and discovering new vein structures To expand mine and mill feed, allowing company to fully utilize the Mill's installed capacity of up to300,000 tonnes per annum." The company's Notes on Mineral Reserves and Mineral Resources section of this press release for a discussion on the assumptions, parameters and methods used to estimate the mineral reserves for 2024. The 2024 mineral reserve and mineral resource estimates are effective as at June 30, 2024. Mineral resources are presented, including mineral reserves. All figures have been rounded to the relative accuracy of the estimates. Summed amounts may not add due to rounding. Mineral resources that are not mineral reserves do not have a demonstrated economic viability. The 2024 mineral reserve and resource estimates for the Xavantina Operations are prepared under the supervision of and verified by Mr. Cid Gonçalves Monteiro Filho, SME RM (04317974), MAIG (No. 8444), FAusIMM (No. 329148) and Resource Manager of the Company who is a “qualified person” within the meanings of NI 43-101. Reference herein of $or USD is to United States dollars and BRL is to Brazilian reais. Mineral Reserves for the Xavantina Operations have been estimated using a gold price of $1,900/oz, and the exchange rate used for mineral reserve and resource estimates was USD/BRL 5.10. Grade shells using a value of 1.20 gpt gold were used to generate a 3D mineralization model of the Xavantina Operations. Within the grade shells, mineral resources were estimated using ordinary kriging within 10 meter by 10 meter by 2 meter block size, with a minimum sub- block size of 1.0 meter by 1.0 meter by 0.5 meter, and the mineral resource estimate was constrained using a minimum stope dimension of 2.0 meters by 2.0 meters by 1.5 meters, a cut-off of 1.20 gpt based on underground mining and processing costs of US$72 per tonne and a gold price of US$1,900 per ounce. The 2024 mineral reserve estimates were prepared in accordance with the CIM Standards and the CIM Guidelines, using geostatistical and/or classical methods, plus economic and mining parameters appropriate for the deposit. Mineral reserves are the economic portion of the measured and indicated mineral resources. Mineral reserve estimates include operational dilution of 17.4% plus planned dilution of approximately 8.5% within each stope for room- and-pillar mining areas and operational dilution of 3.2% plus planned dilution of 21.2% for cut-and-fill mining areas. Mining recovery of 92.5% and 94.7% assumed for room-and-pillar and cut-and-fill areas, respectively. Practical mining shapes (wireframes) were designed using geological wireframes /mineral resource block models as a guide. Announcement • Oct 17
Ero Copper Confirms Full Power Restoration At the Tucumã Operation Ero Copper Corp. confirmed that full power has been restored at its Tucumã Operation following a temporary disruption caused by a severe localized windstorm in the southwest region of the Carajás Mineral Province in Pará State, Brazil on October 5, 2024. With power now restored, the Company has safely resumed the ramp-up of milling, flotation, and filtration circuits within the processing plant. Announcement • Oct 08
Ero Copper Corp. to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 05, 2024 Ero Copper Corp. announced that they will report Q3, 2024 results After-Market on Nov 05, 2024 Announcement • Aug 03
Ero Copper Corp. Provides Production Guidance for the Year 2024 Ero Copper Corp. provided production guidance for the year 2024. The Company is reaffirming its consolidated copper production guidance of 59,000 to 72,000 tonnes in concentrate, with production expected to be weighted towards H2 2024 largely due to the projected ramp-up of production at the Tucumã Project. Contributions from the Tucumã Project, combined with significantly lower concentrate treatment and refining charges, as well as a more favorable USD to BRL exchange rate, are expected to result in lower consolidated copper C1 cash costs in H2 2024 compared to H1 2024. As a result, the Company is reaffirming its full-year consolidated copper C1 cash cost guidance range of $1.50 to $1.75 per pound of copper produced. The Company is reaffirming its increased full-year gold production guidance range of 60,000 to 65,000 ounces. While slightly lower production is projected to result in higher unit costs in H2 2024 compared to H1 2024, the Company is lowering its 2024 gold cost guidance to reflect exceptional year-to-date unit cost performance. Full-year gold C1 cash cost guidance is now $450 to $550 (originally $550 to $650) per ounce of gold produced, and AISC guidance has been reduced to $900 to $1,000 (from $1,050 to $1,150) per ounce of gold produced. The Company's cost guidance for 2024 assumes a foreign exchange rate of 5.00 BRL per USD, a gold price of $1,900 per ounce and a silver price of $23.00 per ounce. Announcement • Jul 31
Ero Copper Corp. Announces Temporary Suspension of Operations At Caraíba Ero Copper Corp. announced that the tragic loss of a member of its team, who succumbed to injuries sustained in a light-duty truck accident at the Caraíba Operations. A second team member is in critical condition. Details surrounding the incident, which occurred in a non-operational area on surface, are still under investigation. In response to this tragedy, the Company immediately activated its emergency response and safety protocols which included suspending operations, notifying the relevant government authorities, and undertaking a full investigation. Operations at Caraíba are expected to resume tomorrow. Announcement • Jul 09
Ero Copper Corp. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 01, 2024 Ero Copper Corp. announced that they will report Q2, 2024 results After-Market on Aug 01, 2024 Recent Insider Transactions • Jun 23
Independent Director recently sold CA$281k worth of stock On the 21st of June, Lyle Braaten sold around 10k shares on-market at roughly CA$28.11 per share. This transaction amounted to 3.2% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. In the last 3 months, they made an even bigger sale worth CA$641k. Insiders have been net sellers, collectively disposing of CA$661k more than they bought in the last 12 months. Announcement • Jun 14
Ero Copper Corp. Receives Operational License for Tucumã Project, Commissioning on Track for First Copper Production Early Third Quarter of 2024 Ero Copper Corp. announced that it has received the Operational License for the Tucumã Project - the last remaining permitting milestone for commercial operation. With physical completion at approximately 99%, commissioning well advanced, and over 90% of the operational staff hired and trained, first concentrate continues to be expected early in the third quarter of 2024. The total direct capital cost estimate for Project completion remains unchanged at approximately $310 million. Highlights: Permitting: Project awarded Operational License by the Pará State environmental agency, Secretaria de Estado de Meio Ambiente e Sustentabilidade (SEMAS) Construction: Physical construction of the Project has reached approximately 99% completion. All mechanical equipment and electrical installations complete, ball mill successfully handed over to operations Pre-stripping activities completed ahead of schedule, and full mining operations have commenced. To date, approximately 110,000 tonnes of ore have been placed on the run-of-mine stockpile with an additional 55,000 tonnes of ore drilled and ready to be blasted in the mine. Process control room, on-site process laboratory, and administrative offices complete. Remaining piping, electric cabling and instrumentation installations on track to complete construction by the end of Second Quarter 2024. Commissioning Plan: Commissioning activities continue to progress on site. First ore through primary and secondary crushers as well as screening and conveyance systems completed with approximately 10,000 tonnes of ore placed on the crushed ore stockpile to date. Mechanical completion and sub-component commissioning (lubrication, hydraulic, electrical, instrumentation and automation systems) completed. First charge through the milling circuit completed, flotation and filtration commissioning nearing completion - Project remains on track to achieve first production and initiate Project ramp-up in early Third Quarter 2024. People & Safety: To date, there have been no lost-time injuries on the Project, with over six million hours of work completed since 2022: Additionally, all site-based management positions have been filled and over 90% of the operational staff required for full-scale operations have been hired and fully trained. Project Capital Estimate: Direct Project capital expenditure for completion remains unchanged at approximately $310 Million. Valuation Update With 7 Day Price Move • Jun 04
Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 17% After last week's 17% share price decline to CA$26.08, the stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 10x. Average forward P/E is 5x in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Total loss to shareholders of 5.8% over the past three years. Recent Insider Transactions Derivative • May 15
Independent Director exercised options to buy CA$536k worth of stock. On the 10th of May, Chantal Gosselin exercised 20.00k options to receive shares at no cost, then sold around 2.03k of them at CA$21.09 each and kept the remainder. Since December 2023, Chantal has owned 10.17k shares directly. Company insiders have collectively bought CA$2.5m more than they sold, via options and on-market transactions, in the last 12 months. Recent Insider Transactions • May 13
Independent Director recently sold CA$641k worth of stock On the 10th of May, Lyle Braaten sold around 21k shares on-market at roughly CA$30.20 per share. This transaction amounted to 6.2% of their direct individual holding at the time of the trade. This was the largest sale by an insider in the last 3 months. Insiders have been net sellers, collectively disposing of CA$732k more than they bought in the last 12 months. Announcement • May 09
Ero Copper Corp. Updates Production Guidance for the Year 2024 Ero Copper Corp. updated production guidance for the year 2024. For the year, the company is increasing its 2024 gold production guidance from 55,000 to 60,000 ounces to a range of 60,000 to 65,000 ounces. The Company expects mined and processed gold grades to remain above plan through the remainder of H1 2024, as positive grade reconciliations have continued into Second Quarter 2024. While this trend may continue beyond Second Quarter 2024, the Company is projecting a reversion to long-term block model grades for planned mining areas in H2 2024. As a result of higher full-year production expectations, the Company is guiding towards the low end of its full-year cost guidance for the Xavantina Operations. Consolidated copper production of 59,000 to 72,000 tonnes in concentrate is expected to be weighted towards H2 2024, largely due to the anticipated commencement of production at the Tucumã Project in early Third Quarter 2024. Consequently, consolidated copper C1 cash costs are projected to be lower in H2 2024 versus H1 2024. Reported Earnings • May 08
First quarter 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind First quarter 2024 results: US$0.069 loss per share (down from US$0.26 profit in 1Q 2023). Revenue: US$105.8m (up 4.8% from 1Q 2023). Net loss: US$7.14m (down 130% from profit in 1Q 2023). Revenue exceeded analyst estimates by 12%. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates. Revenue is forecast to grow 23% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 13% growth forecast for the Metals and Mining industry in Canada. Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has fallen by 39% per year but the company’s share price has increased by 1% per year, which means it is well ahead of earnings. Price Target Changed • Apr 23
Price target increased by 7.8% to CA$29.81 Up from CA$27.66, the current price target is an average from 12 analysts. New target price is 13% above last closing price of CA$26.27. Stock is up 1.5% over the past year. The company is forecast to post earnings per share of US$1.33 for next year compared to US$0.99 last year. 
