Stock Analysis

Should You Use ADF Group's (TSE:DRX) Statutory Earnings To Analyse It?

TSX:DRX
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As a general rule, we think profitable companies are less risky than companies that lose money. However, sometimes companies receive a one-off boost (or reduction) to their profit, and it's not always clear whether statutory profits are a good guide, going forward. This article will consider whether ADF Group's (TSE:DRX) statutory profits are a good guide to its underlying earnings.

We like the fact that ADF Group made a profit of CA$4.65m on its revenue of CA$181.8m, in the last year.

See our latest analysis for ADF Group

earnings-and-revenue-history
TSX:DRX Earnings and Revenue History January 15th 2021

Not all profits are equal, and we can learn more about the nature of a company's past profitability by diving deeper into the financial statements. As a result, we think it's well worth considering what ADF Group's cashflow (when compared to its earnings) can tell us about the nature of its statutory profit. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of ADF Group.

A Closer Look At ADF Group's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

ADF Group has an accrual ratio of -0.14 for the year to October 2020. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CA$20m, well over the CA$4.65m it reported in profit. ADF Group shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

Our Take On ADF Group's Profit Performance

ADF Group's accrual ratio is solid, and indicates strong free cash flow, as we discussed, above. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that ADF Group's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And one can definitely find a positive in the fact that it made a profit this year, despite losing money last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you'd like to know more about ADF Group as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that ADF Group has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore these bad boys.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of ADF Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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