Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Calibre Mining Corp. (TSE:CXB) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Calibre Mining
How Much Debt Does Calibre Mining Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 Calibre Mining had US$12.2m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. However, it does have US$56.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$44.2m.
How Strong Is Calibre Mining's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Calibre Mining had liabilities of US$66.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$147.0m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$56.5m and US$7.45m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$149.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Calibre Mining has a market capitalization of US$489.5m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Calibre Mining also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
But the other side of the story is that Calibre Mining saw its EBIT decline by 7.1% over the last year. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Calibre Mining's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Calibre Mining has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Calibre Mining basically broke even on a free cash flow basis. While many companies do operate at break-even, we prefer see substantial free cash flow, especially if a it already has dead.
Summing Up
While Calibre Mining does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$44.2m. So while Calibre Mining does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Calibre Mining (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:CXB
Calibre Mining
Engages in the exploration, development, and mining of gold properties.
Reasonable growth potential with adequate balance sheet.
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