Stock Analysis

Investors Appear Satisfied With Capstone Copper Corp.'s (TSE:CS) Prospects As Shares Rocket 26%

TSX:CS
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Capstone Copper Corp. (TSE:CS) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 39%.

Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies operating in Canada's Metals and Mining industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.4x, you may consider Capstone Copper as a stock to potentially avoid with its 3.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Capstone Copper

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:CS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 15th 2024

How Capstone Copper Has Been Performing

Capstone Copper could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Capstone Copper will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Capstone Copper's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 3.8% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 197% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 22% per year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 8.1% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Capstone Copper's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

The large bounce in Capstone Copper's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our look into Capstone Copper shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Capstone Copper, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Capstone Copper is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.