Stock Analysis

We Think Copper Mountain Mining (TSE:CMMC) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

TSX:CMMC
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Copper Mountain Mining Corporation (TSE:CMMC) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Copper Mountain Mining

What Is Copper Mountain Mining's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Copper Mountain Mining had CA$302.6m of debt in March 2021, down from CA$350.2m, one year before. However, it also had CA$137.1m in cash, and so its net debt is CA$165.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:CMMC Debt to Equity History June 27th 2021

A Look At Copper Mountain Mining's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Copper Mountain Mining had liabilities of CA$128.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$339.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CA$137.1m in cash and CA$44.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$287.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Copper Mountain Mining has a market capitalization of CA$800.8m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Copper Mountain Mining has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.78. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 14.2 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Copper Mountain Mining turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of CA$188m. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Copper Mountain Mining can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the most recent year, Copper Mountain Mining recorded free cash flow worth 75% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Copper Mountain Mining's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Copper Mountain Mining takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Copper Mountain Mining that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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