Stock Analysis

Is CCL Industries (TSE:CCL.B) Using Too Much Debt?

TSX:CCL.B
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that CCL Industries Inc. (TSE:CCL.B) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for CCL Industries

What Is CCL Industries's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2023 CCL Industries had CA$2.18b of debt, an increase on CA$1.93b, over one year. However, it also had CA$787.1m in cash, and so its net debt is CA$1.40b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSX:CCL.B Debt to Equity History June 16th 2023

How Healthy Is CCL Industries' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that CCL Industries had liabilities of CA$1.39b due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$2.92b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$787.1m and CA$1.21b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CA$2.32b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since CCL Industries has a market capitalization of CA$11.1b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

CCL Industries's net debt is only 1.2 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 11.8 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Fortunately, CCL Industries grew its EBIT by 6.5% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if CCL Industries can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, CCL Industries recorded free cash flow worth 66% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Happily, CCL Industries's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that CCL Industries takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for CCL Industries you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:CCL.B

CCL Industries

Manufactures and sells labels, consumer printable media products, technology-driven label solutions, polymer banknote substrates, and specialty films.

Excellent balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.

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