Why Aya Gold & Silver (TSX:AYA) Is Up 41.2% After Record Boumadine Drilling and New Cash Flows

Simply Wall St
  • Aya Gold & Silver recently announced record-breaking drill results at Boumadine in Morocco and began commercial production from a historical precious metals stockpile, generating immediate cash flow and identifying new high-grade mineralized structures that could expand the project's resource base.
  • These developments highlight both near-term revenue generation from existing assets and the prospect of significant future resource growth, reinforcing the Boumadine project's emergence as a potential world-class operation.
  • We'll look at how the combination of record drill results and new cash flow streams could reshape Aya Gold & Silver's investment narrative.

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Aya Gold & Silver Investment Narrative Recap

To believe in Aya Gold & Silver as a shareholder, you need confidence in the company’s ability to unlock large-scale, high-grade mineral resources at Boumadine while efficiently converting these discoveries into production and cash flow. The recent combination of record Boumadine drill results and the launch of commercial production from a historic stockpile directly addresses near-term cash generation but does not materially lessen the biggest current risk, operational execution and consistent ore grade delivery remain critical in the short term.

Among recent announcements, the November 26, 2025, disclosure of Aya’s highest-ever mineralized intercept at Boumadine stands out. With new high-grade structures found, the drilling campaign meaningfully supports the next catalyst: expanding Boumadine’s resource base and de-risking the upcoming PEA.

Yet, in contrast to these gains, investors should pay close attention to the risk of...

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Aya Gold & Silver's outlook anticipates $266.9 million in revenue and $92.6 million in earnings by 2028. This is based on a projected 42.2% annual revenue growth rate and a $102.8 million increase in earnings from the current level of $-10.2 million.

Uncover how Aya Gold & Silver's forecasts yield a CA$23.09 fair value, a 21% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

TSX:AYA Community Fair Values as at Nov 2025

Eight Simply Wall St Community members set fair value estimates for Aya Gold & Silver between CA$9 and CA$102, showing a wide gulf in expectations. Resource expansion at Boumadine remains a key focus for projections of future performance, so consider multiple viewpoints as you assess these diverging forecasts.

Explore 8 other fair value estimates on Aya Gold & Silver - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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