Stock Analysis

Do Its Financials Have Any Role To Play In Driving Aya Gold & Silver Inc.'s (TSE:AYA) Stock Up Recently?

TSX:AYA
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Aya Gold & Silver's (TSE:AYA) stock is up by a considerable 19% over the past three months. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. Specifically, we decided to study Aya Gold & Silver's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for Aya Gold & Silver

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Aya Gold & Silver is:

0.6% = US$1.7m ÷ US$273m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every CA$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CA$0.01.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Aya Gold & Silver's Earnings Growth And 0.6% ROE

As you can see, Aya Gold & Silver's ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 8.5%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. However, we we're pleasantly surprised to see that Aya Gold & Silver grew its net income at a significant rate of 41% in the last five years. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Aya Gold & Silver's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 29% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
TSX:AYA Past Earnings Growth June 18th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Aya Gold & Silver's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Aya Gold & Silver Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Given that Aya Gold & Silver doesn't pay any regular dividends to its shareholders, we infer that the company has been reinvesting all of its profits to grow its business.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Aya Gold & Silver has some positive aspects to its business. Even in spite of the low rate of return, the company has posted impressive earnings growth as a result of reinvesting heavily into its business. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.