Stock Analysis

Aya Gold & Silver Inc.'s (TSE:AYA) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

TSX:AYA
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When you see that almost half of the companies in the Metals and Mining industry in Canada have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.1x, Aya Gold & Silver Inc. (TSE:AYA) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 22x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Aya Gold & Silver

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:AYA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 5th 2024

What Does Aya Gold & Silver's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Aya Gold & Silver could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will improve markedly. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Aya Gold & Silver will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Aya Gold & Silver's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Aya Gold & Silver's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 37%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 80% per year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 7.9% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Aya Gold & Silver's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Aya Gold & Silver's P/S

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Aya Gold & Silver's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Aya Gold & Silver (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Aya Gold & Silver is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.