Stock Analysis

Not Many Are Piling Into Argonaut Gold Inc. (TSE:AR) Just Yet

TSX:AR
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x Argonaut Gold Inc. (TSE:AR) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Metals and Mining companies in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 2x and even P/S higher than 14x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for Argonaut Gold

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:AR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 8th 2024

How Has Argonaut Gold Performed Recently?

Argonaut Gold hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Argonaut Gold.

How Is Argonaut Gold's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Argonaut Gold's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 11% decrease to the company's top line. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 21% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 13% each year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 10% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Argonaut Gold's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does Argonaut Gold's P/S Mean For Investors?

We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

To us, it seems Argonaut Gold currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Argonaut Gold that we have uncovered.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Argonaut Gold is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.