Barrick Mining Corporation

TSX:ABX Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$89.4b

Barrick Mining Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Barrick Mining is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 9.8% and 9.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 11.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 17.6% in 3 years.

Key information

9.8%

Earnings growth rate

11.24%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth19.0%
Revenue growth rate9.7%
Future return on equity17.57%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated30 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

ABX: Reko Diq Review And Project Delays Will Shape Future Upside

Analysts have raised their CA$ fair value estimate for Barrick Mining from about CA$65.36 to about CA$71.61, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple that together support the higher price target. Analyst Commentary Analysts are updating their views on Barrick Mining in the context of broader sector research that has recently featured valuation resets and rating changes for peers.

ABX: Lower Margin Outlook And Business Split Will Pressure Shares

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Barrick Mining, cutting the implied price target from about CA$50.72 to roughly CA$46.30 as they factor in a slightly lower profit margin outlook, a more modest future P/E and updated expectations for revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts have recently become more cautious on mining and resource names, highlighting that sharp share price moves can quickly compress future return potential, even when company fundamentals are viewed as solid.

ABX: Future Asset Split And Buybacks Will Drive Rerating Potential

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Barrick Mining to CA$96.06 from CA$100.75, citing updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E in a move similar in tone to recent valuation driven rating changes seen elsewhere on the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent trims to fair value for Barrick Mining come against a backdrop where valuation discipline is front and center across the market.

ABX: Planned Business Split Will Pressure Shares Despite Higher P/E Multiple

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for Barrick Mining to CA$50.72 from CA$47.98, reflecting updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Barrick Mining reported fourth quarter 2025 production of 871,000 ounces of gold and 62,000 tonnes of copper, and full year 2025 production of 3,255,000 ounces of gold and 220,000 tonnes of copper, compared with 3,911,000 ounces of gold and 195,000 tonnes of copper a year earlier (company announcement of operating results).

ABX: Planned Business Split And Rich P/E Will Pressure Shares

Analysts have lifted their CA$ fair value estimate for Barrick Mining to about CA$48 from roughly CA$42, pointing to updated assumptions that include a slightly higher discount rate, more moderate revenue growth and margins, and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News The board is exploring a potential split of the business, with plans to spin off Barrick's premier North American mining operations into a separate listed company, following pressure from activist investor Elliott Investment Management (company announcement).

ABX: Future Asset Split And New Leadership Will Drive Rerating Potential

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Barrick Mining from US$80.05 to US$100.75, citing updated assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E as the key drivers behind the higher target. What's in the News Barrick issued production guidance for 2026, with expected gold output of 2.90 million to 3.25 million ounces and copper output of 190,000 to 220,000 tonnes (Corporate guidance).

ABX: Future Corporate Split Will Weigh On Shares Despite Stronger Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Barrick Mining from US$31.15 to US$42.23, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple as the key drivers of the revised outlook. What's in the News Barrick Mining plans a leadership change in the finance team, with board member Helen Cai set to become Chief Financial Officer on March 1, 2026, following the departure of current CFO Graham Shuttleworth after the 2025 year end results.

ABX: Future Corporate Split Plans Will Drive Rerating Potential

Analysts have lifted their price target on Barrick Mining by an implied 64% to approximately US$80. They point to updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and a higher future P/E multiple as key drivers of the change.

ABX: Activist Spin Off, Governance Shifts And Payout Actions Will Shape Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target on Barrick Mining by approximately 5 percent to about $65 per share, citing slightly lower discount rate assumptions along with modestly stronger expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and a still attractive future P/E multiple. What's in the News Barrick has agreed to explore a potential spin off of its premier North American mining assets into a separately listed NewCo following pressure from activist investor Elliott Investment Management, targeting the company’s valuation gap and geopolitical risk profile (company announcement).

ABX: Activist-Led Split, Payout Moves And Leadership Change Will Shape Outlook

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Barrick Mining to approximately $62 per share from about $59.50, citing slightly stronger expectations for revenue growth and valuation multiples, despite a marginally lower projected profit margin. What's in the News Barrick's board, under pressure from activist investor Elliott Investment Management, has approved exploring a major corporate split that would spin off its premier North American mining assets into a new listed company.

Earnings Tell The Story For Barrick Mining Corporation (TSE:ABX) As Its Stock Soars 29%

Nov 27
Earnings Tell The Story For Barrick Mining Corporation (TSE:ABX) As Its Stock Soars 29%

ABX: Settlement And Buybacks Will Shape Opportunities Amid Production Shifts

Analysts have increased their price target for Barrick Mining from $54.72 to $59.49. This change reflects improved profit margin forecasts as well as a slightly lower discount rate.

ABX: Future Nevada Developments And Acquisition Interest Will Drive Upside Potential

Analysts have raised their price target for Barrick Mining from $51.84 to $54.72. This reflects updated views on the company's future profitability and growth potential.

Major Gold Discovery And Leadership Transition Will Drive Future Opportunity

Barrick Mining's analyst price target has been raised from $48.36 to $51.84. This change reflects analysts' increased confidence in the company's improved revenue growth projections and higher expected profit margins.

Weekly Picks: 💻 A Hedge Against US Government Shutdown And 2 More Picks

Oct 21
Weekly Picks: 💻 A Hedge Against US Government Shutdown And 2 More Picks

Gold And Copper Capacity Expansion Will Capture Future Demand

Analysts have raised their price target for Barrick Mining from $45.53 to $48.36. They cite strengthened revenue growth forecasts and improved profit margins as key drivers for the upward revision.

Barrick Mining (ABX:CA): A Gold Hedge against a U.S. Shutdown

Barrick looks undervalued at CAD 48.07 with fair value closer to CAD 55, as gold’s safe-haven role comes into focus with a looming U.S. shutdown. Introduction As investors brace for a likely U.S. government shutdown on October 1, gold is again in the spotlight as a hedge against political and financial instability.

Gold And Copper Capacity Expansion Will Capture Future Demand

Barrick Mining’s fair value has been revised upward as reflected by a higher Future P/E and only a marginal decline in net profit margin, resulting in a substantial increase in the consensus analyst price target from CA$38.37 to CA$45.53. What's in the News Barrick's Fourmile project in Nevada is emerging as a potential Tier One gold asset, with a new PEA indicating exceptional grades, scale, and low-cost, long-life production; significant expansion in exploration drilling is planned through 2028.

Gold And Copper Capacity Expansion Will Capture Future Demand

The consensus future P/E for Barrick Mining has increased substantially while revenue growth forecasts have edged lower, resulting in only a marginal upward revision in the fair value price target to CA$38.37. What's in the News Barrick provided 2025 production guidance of 3.15–3.5 million ounces of gold and 200,000–230,000 tonnes of copper.

Further Upside For Barrick Mining Corporation (TSE:ABX) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 26% Bounce

Sep 03
Further Upside For Barrick Mining Corporation (TSE:ABX) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 26% Bounce

Gold And Copper Capacity Expansion Will Capture Future Demand

Barrick Mining’s future P/E ratio has increased significantly, indicating higher growth expectations or a more expensive valuation despite a decline in net profit margin, resulting in a nearly unchanged consensus analyst price target of CA$37.98. What's in the News Barrick Mining issued 2025 guidance with expected gold production of 3.15–3.5 million ounces and copper production of 200,000–230,000 tonnes.

Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By Barrick Mining Corporation's (TSE:ABX) Earnings

Jun 22
Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By Barrick Mining Corporation's (TSE:ABX) Earnings

Here's Why Barrick Mining (TSE:ABX) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

May 25
Here's Why Barrick Mining (TSE:ABX) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors
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Reko Diq And Fourmile Projects Will Expand Production And Diversify Operations

Strategic investments in new projects and expansions position Barrick for sustained production growth, boosting future revenues and diversification.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:ABX - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202826,1907,6828,66512,8698
12/31/202725,0187,8787,80412,81813
12/31/202622,7146,8075,76510,62113
12/31/202516,9564,9933,8687,689N/A
9/30/202514,6043,5832,7506,355N/A
6/30/202513,8242,7641,7155,113N/A
3/31/202513,3052,3231,6604,943N/A
12/31/202412,9222,1441,3174,491N/A
9/30/202412,3361,6279524,096N/A
6/30/202411,8301,5128674,043N/A
3/31/202411,5011,4475903,716N/A
12/31/202311,3971,2726463,732N/A
9/30/202311,112584143,530N/A
6/30/202310,777-69213,161N/A
3/31/202310,8031141273,253N/A
12/31/202211,0134324323,481N/A
9/30/202211,5491,8931,2464,073N/A
6/30/202211,8481,9991,7614,365N/A
3/31/202211,8821,9221,5734,080N/A
12/31/202111,9852,0221,9434,378N/A
9/30/202111,9541,9812,3174,629N/A
6/30/202112,6682,5163,1475,438N/A
3/31/202112,8302,4623,6885,830N/A
12/31/202012,5952,3243,3635,417N/A
9/30/202012,1993,0262,7004,654N/A
6/30/202011,3374,4211,8913,799N/A
3/31/202010,3454,2581,4243,202N/A
12/31/20199,7173,9691,1322,833N/A
9/30/20198,7381,385N/A2,369N/A
6/30/20197,897-1,304N/A2,071N/A
3/31/20197,546-1,592N/A1,778N/A
12/31/20187,243-1,545N/A1,765N/A
9/30/20187,567-662N/A1,944N/A
6/30/20187,723-261N/A1,770N/A
3/31/20188,171917N/A2,077N/A
12/31/20178,3741,438N/A2,065N/A
9/30/20178,4652,177N/A2,186N/A
6/30/20178,7692,363N/A2,605N/A
3/31/20178,6211,417N/A2,684N/A
12/31/20168,558655N/A2,640N/A
9/30/20168,477-2,392N/A2,627N/A
6/30/20168,495-2,831N/A2,931N/A
3/31/20168,714-2,978N/A2,929N/A
12/31/20159,029-2,838N/A2,794N/A
9/30/20159,301-3,067N/A2,467N/A
6/30/20159,610-2,678N/A2,064N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ABX's forecast earnings growth (9.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.9%).

Earnings vs Market: ABX's earnings (9.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (10.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ABX's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: ABX's revenue (9.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ABX's revenue (9.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ABX's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (17.6%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/01 21:37
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Barrick Mining Corporation is covered by 49 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harriet LiAccountability Research Corporation
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Richard GrayATB Cormark