Barrick Gold Corporation

TSX:ABX Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$39.4b

Barrick Gold Valuation

Is ABX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ABX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ABX (CA$22.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$60.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ABX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ABX?

Key metric: As ABX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ABX. This is calculated by dividing ABX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ABX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.9x
EarningsUS$1.63b
Market CapUS$27.45b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ABX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ABX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.8x
WPM Wheaton Precious Metals
42.8x9.6%CA$37.5b
K Kinross Gold
15.7x-1.4%CA$16.6b
AGI Alamos Gold
31.7x38.9%CA$11.1b
LUG Lundin Gold
16.9x23.5%CA$7.5b
ABX Barrick Gold
16.9x19.5%CA$39.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ABX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the peer average (26.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ABX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Metals and Mining Industry?

37 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SLI Standard Lithium
2.6xn/aUS$285.82m
APM Andean Precious Metals
2.6x-42.9%US$141.87m
THX Thor Explorations
2.7x2.5%US$137.26m
STGO Steppe Gold
2.1x-11.5%US$109.15m
ABX 16.9xIndustry Avg. 12.2xNo. of Companies37PE01632486480+
37 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ABX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the Canadian Metals and Mining industry average (12.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ABX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ABX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.9x
Fair PE Ratio24.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ABX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ABX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$22.55
CA$32.58
+44.5%
9.6%CA$38.69CA$27.03n/a11
Dec ’25CA$24.52
CA$32.70
+33.3%
10.0%CA$38.35CA$26.98n/a11
Nov ’25CA$26.60
CA$33.54
+26.1%
8.0%CA$38.37CA$29.23n/a11
Oct ’25CA$27.41
CA$31.17
+13.7%
9.5%CA$37.80CA$28.03n/a11
Sep ’25CA$27.21
CA$30.33
+11.5%
9.5%CA$37.30CA$26.57n/a11
Aug ’25CA$25.30
CA$30.26
+19.6%
11.1%CA$38.64CA$25.77n/a11
Jul ’25CA$22.82
CA$29.70
+30.2%
11.9%CA$35.83CA$25.47n/a11
Jun ’25CA$23.25
CA$29.51
+26.9%
12.1%CA$35.70CA$24.70n/a11
May ’25CA$22.52
CA$29.23
+29.8%
13.3%CA$36.00CA$23.53n/a11
Apr ’25CA$22.90
CA$26.84
+17.2%
16.0%CA$34.95CA$19.36n/a11
Mar ’25CA$20.27
CA$26.83
+32.4%
16.1%CA$35.01CA$19.37n/a11
Feb ’25CA$21.30
CA$28.25
+32.6%
14.5%CA$36.21CA$22.96n/a11
Jan ’25CA$23.94
CA$28.74
+20.1%
15.6%CA$39.86CA$22.67n/a10
Dec ’24CA$23.94
CA$28.74
+20.0%
17.6%CA$41.18CA$21.13CA$24.5211
Nov ’24CA$22.24
CA$29.07
+30.7%
18.3%CA$41.28CA$19.67CA$26.6011
Oct ’24CA$19.73
CA$29.66
+50.3%
14.9%CA$40.64CA$23.25CA$27.4111
Sep ’24CA$21.95
CA$28.65
+30.5%
10.0%CA$34.19CA$23.29CA$27.2110
Aug ’24CA$22.64
CA$28.50
+25.9%
10.1%CA$34.08CA$23.50CA$25.3010
Jul ’24CA$22.41
CA$28.82
+28.6%
9.9%CA$33.16CA$23.58CA$22.8211
Jun ’24CA$23.48
CA$29.25
+24.6%
9.6%CA$33.67CA$23.94CA$23.2512
May ’24CA$25.74
CA$29.91
+16.2%
10.1%CA$34.44CA$23.18CA$22.5211
Apr ’24CA$25.09
CA$27.84
+11.0%
10.5%CA$33.47CA$23.12CA$22.9011
Mar ’24CA$22.22
CA$28.33
+27.5%
9.5%CA$33.58CA$24.55CA$20.2711
Feb ’24CA$26.52
CA$28.99
+9.3%
13.1%CA$38.54CA$23.56CA$21.3011
Jan ’24CA$23.21
CA$29.02
+25.0%
17.7%CA$39.49CA$20.86CA$23.9411
Dec ’23CA$23.01
CA$28.85
+25.4%
18.4%CA$39.40CA$20.81CA$23.9411

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 17:09
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Barrick Gold Corporation is covered by 59 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harriet LiAccountability Research Corporation
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Fabrizio SpagnaAxia Financial Research