Stock Analysis

Does Barrick Gold (TSE:ABX) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

TSX:ABX
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Barrick Gold Corporation (TSE:ABX) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

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Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Barrick Gold

What Is Barrick Gold's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Barrick Gold had US$5.08b in debt in September 2021; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has US$5.04b in cash leading to net debt of about US$40.0m.

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TSX:ABX Debt to Equity History January 21st 2022

How Strong Is Barrick Gold's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Barrick Gold had liabilities of US$1.98b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$12.6b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$5.04b and US$600.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$8.90b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Barrick Gold has a huge market capitalization of US$35.6b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. Carrying virtually no net debt, Barrick Gold has a very light debt load indeed.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Barrick Gold has very little debt (net of cash), and boasts a debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.0063 and EBIT of 16.5 times the interest expense. Indeed relative to its earnings its debt load seems light as a feather. While Barrick Gold doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Barrick Gold's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Barrick Gold produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 53% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Happily, Barrick Gold's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its net debt to EBITDA is also very heartening. All these things considered, it appears that Barrick Gold can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Barrick Gold that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.