Allied Gold Future Growth
Future criteria checks 5/6
Allied Gold is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 75.9% and 29% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 69.4% per annum.
Key information
75.9%
Earnings growth rate
69.41%
EPS growth rate
| Metals and Mining earnings growth | 17.1% |
| Revenue growth rate | 29.0% |
| Future return on equity | n/a |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 14 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • May 16
AAUC: Rising Production Guidance Will Support Further Upside Potential
Allied Gold's analyst price target has been adjusted slightly higher to CA$44.07 from CA$43.77, with analysts pointing to updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E as the key drivers behind the tweak. What's in the News Allied Gold reported gold production of 96,016 ounces for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026, compared with 84,040 ounces for the same quarter a year earlier (company announcement of operating results).
Narrative Update • May 02
AAUC: Takeout Bid And Deal Certainty Will Drive Future Return Profile
Analysts now see Allied Gold's fair value edging to about CA$44.21 from roughly CA$44.35, reflecting updated assumptions for higher revenue growth, a lower discount rate, softer profit margin expectations, and a slightly higher future P/E following recent downgrades to Hold after the takeout offer. Analyst Commentary Recent research following the takeout offer shows analysts reworking their models rather than abandoning the story outright.Narrative Update • Apr 17
AAUC: Takeout Bid And Production Outlook Will Shape Future Return Balance
Analysts have made a small upward adjustment to Allied Gold's fair value estimate to CA$44.35, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E following recent downgrades and a takeout offer. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research has turned more cautious following the takeout offer, with several firms shifting their stance on Allied Gold.Narrative Update • Apr 03
AAUC: Takeout Offer And Downgrades Will Contain Upside Despite Higher Assumptions
Analysts have lifted the Allied Gold price target from about CA$36.01 to roughly CA$43.77, reflecting updated views on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions informed by recent research and takeout-related downgrades. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Allied Gold centres on a series of downgrades that arrived around the time of a takeout offer, paired with higher stated price targets.
Narrative Update • Mar 20
AAUC: Takeout Offer And Execution Risks Will Shape Future Cash Flows
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Allied Gold from about CA$46.35 to CA$44.26, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E following recent price target moves and rating changes related to the takeout offer. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around the takeout offer has focused less on long term fundamentals and more on how the proposed transaction price compares with prior expectations for Allied Gold's standalone value.Narrative Update • Mar 06
AAUC: Takeout Bid And Rising Production Will Define Future Return Balance
The analyst price target for Allied Gold has decreased by about CA$0.06 as analysts factor in updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, discount rates and future P/E assumptions, alongside recent takeout related downgrades from several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Allied Gold has shifted quickly following the takeout offer, with several firms adjusting both ratings and price targets.Narrative Update • Feb 20
AAUC: Rising Output And Takeout Offer Will Shape Balanced Return Profile
Analysts have lowered their implied fair value for Allied Gold to about CA$44 from roughly CA$55, reflecting a higher discount rate and a lower assumed future P/E, while also highlighting updated expectations for revenue growth and profit margin. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Allied Gold has centered on the takeout offer and what that implies for valuation, liquidity, and execution risk.Narrative Update • Feb 06
AAUC: M&A Proposal And Project Execution Risks Will Shape Future Cash Flows
Allied Gold's analyst price target has been lifted by roughly C$4 to reflect updated views on fair value, profitability and future P/E, even as recent research includes rating downgrades alongside higher targets from multiple firms. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are lifting their fair value estimates, as seen in the higher C$9 and C$10 price target moves, which suggests they see room for the shares to better reflect underlying fundamentals over time.Narrative Update • Jan 22
AAUC: Elevated Expectations For Sadiola Expansion Will Expose Execution Risk
Allied Gold's analyst price target has been raised from about C$25 to roughly C$36. Analysts point to updated assumptions for faster revenue growth, higher profit margins and a lower future P/E multiple as key drivers of the change.Narrative Update • Jan 08
AAUC: Production Expansion And Exploration Updates Will Drive Future Cash Flow Upside
The analyst price target for Allied Gold has been revised higher. Recent Street research indicates a move into the C$35 to C$46 range, as analysts point to updated fair value estimates, adjusted discount rates, and refreshed assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E as key drivers for the change.Narrative Update • Dec 23
AAUC Will Benefit From Rising Gold Output And Expanded Index Inclusion
Narrative Update on Allied Gold The analyst price target for Allied Gold has been raised significantly to approximately C$55 from about C$40. Analysts attribute this to improved expectations for revenue growth, profit margins, and a modestly higher discount rate, along with supportive recent target increases on the Street.Narrative Update • Dec 09
AAUC: Future Production Expansion Will Drive Cash Flow Upside And Share Price Momentum
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Allied Gold slightly higher, with the updated price target moving in line with recent Street target increases to C$35 and C$46, which reflects improved confidence in the company’s growth outlook and earnings potential. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have become more constructive on Allied Gold following recent operational updates and a clearer pathway to delivering on its project pipeline.Narrative Update • Nov 25
AAUC: Future Production Expansion Will Drive Earnings and Share Price Momentum
The consensus analyst price target for Allied Gold has been increased significantly, rising from C$32 to C$40. Analysts cite improved revenue growth forecasts and stronger profit margins as key factors driving the upward revision.Narrative Update • Nov 06
AAUC: Future Expansion Plans Will Drive Higher Earnings And Profitability
Allied Gold's analyst price target has increased significantly, rising by approximately C$3.45 to reflect improved revenue forecasts and higher expected profit margins, according to recent analyst updates. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst activity reflects a mix of optimism and caution regarding Allied Gold's outlook.Narrative Update • Oct 23
Analyst Commentary Highlights Revised Outlook and Valuation Adjustments for Allied Gold
Analysts have lowered their price target for Allied Gold from C$30 to C$27. They cite slight decreases in projected profit margins and revenue growth as the main reasons for this adjustment.Narrative Update • Oct 09
Operational Upgrades And West African Mining Will Unlock Future Potential
Analysts have revised their price target for Allied Gold upward to approximately $33.58. This reflects a strengthening fair value estimate, despite recent adjustments in growth and margin assumptions.Narrative Update • Sep 25
Operational Upgrades And West African Mining Will Unlock Future Potential
The upward revision in Allied Gold’s consensus price target reflects a substantially higher future P/E multiple, indicating increased optimism for the company’s earnings outlook, with the fair value raised from CA$30.18 to CA$31.83. What's in the News Produced 91,017 gold ounces in the second quarter.Analysis Article • May 10
Earnings Miss: Allied Gold Corporation Missed EPS By 73% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
It's shaping up to be a tough period for Allied Gold Corporation ( TSE:AAUC ), which a week ago released some...Analysis Article • May 06
Allied Gold Corporation (TSE:AAUC) Shares Fly 29% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
Allied Gold Corporation ( TSE:AAUC ) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period...Analysis Article • Apr 25
News Flash: Analysts Just Made A Notable Upgrade To Their Allied Gold Corporation (TSE:AAUC) Forecasts
Allied Gold Corporation ( TSE:AAUC ) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making...
New Narrative • Apr 24
Streaming Deals And Kurmuk And Sadiola Projects Will Unlock Opportunity
Strategic management improvements and focusing on local expertise aim to boost operational efficiency and net margins.Analysis Article • Jan 31
Allied Gold Corporation (TSE:AAUC) Soars 35% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward
Allied Gold Corporation ( TSE:AAUC ) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month...Analysis Article • Mar 05
Market Cool On Allied Gold Corporation's (TSE:AAUC) Revenues
Allied Gold Corporation's ( TSE:AAUC ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x might make it look like a buy right now...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 3,361 | 1,388 | 1,251 | 1,548 | 1 |
| 12/31/2027 | 2,773 | 1,148 | 1,130 | 1,435 | 3 |
| 12/31/2026 | 2,398 | 582 | 482 | 849 | 2 |
| 3/31/2026 | 1,380 | -125 | 13 | 450 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 1,332 | -52 | 82 | 514 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 1,075 | -38 | -35 | 378 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 958 | -129 | -66 | 267 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 902 | -95 | -37 | 239 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 730 | -116 | -83 | 111 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 739 | -100 | -89 | 47 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 727 | -187 | -121 | -12 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 676 | -194 | -88 | 3 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 656 | -208 | -74 | 20 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 666 | -225 | -68 | 36 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 636 | -36 | -59 | 51 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 657 | -32 | -41 | 69 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 670 | -7 | -20 | 86 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 489 | -115 | 9 | 94 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 187 | 92 | 4 | 27 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: AAUC is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3%).
Earnings vs Market: AAUC is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: AAUC is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: AAUC's revenue (29% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (4.6% per year).
High Growth Revenue: AAUC's revenue (29% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if AAUC's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/18 10:55 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/15 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Allied Gold Corporation is covered by 10 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Richard Gray | ATB Cormark |
| Carey MacRury | Canaccord Genuity |
| Anita Soni | CIBC Capital Markets |