Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That NeuPath Health (CVE:NPTH) Is Using Debt Extensively

TSXV:NPTH
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that NeuPath Health Inc. (CVE:NPTH) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for NeuPath Health

How Much Debt Does NeuPath Health Carry?

As you can see below, NeuPath Health had CA$5.66m of debt at March 2024, down from CA$6.47m a year prior. On the flip side, it has CA$2.55m in cash leading to net debt of about CA$3.11m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:NPTH Debt to Equity History June 16th 2024

How Healthy Is NeuPath Health's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that NeuPath Health had liabilities of CA$9.48m due within 12 months and liabilities of CA$10.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CA$2.55m in cash and CA$7.58m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CA$9.98m.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CA$11.0m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While NeuPath Health has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.8, its interest cover seems weak, at 0.65. The main reason for this is that it has such high depreciation and amortisation. These charges may be non-cash, so they could be excluded when it comes to paying down debt. But the accounting charges are there for a reason -- some assets are seen to be losing value. In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. We also note that NeuPath Health improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive CA$638k. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since NeuPath Health will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, NeuPath Health actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

NeuPath Health's interest cover and level of total liabilities definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. It's also worth noting that NeuPath Health is in the Healthcare industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that NeuPath Health is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for NeuPath Health you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether NeuPath Health is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com