Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Aleafia Health Inc. (TSE:AH) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Aleafia Health
How Much Debt Does Aleafia Health Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Aleafia Health had CA$33.9m of debt in June 2021, down from CA$53.7m, one year before. However, it also had CA$4.85m in cash, and so its net debt is CA$29.1m.
A Look At Aleafia Health's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Aleafia Health had liabilities of CA$49.9m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$4.97m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$4.85m as well as receivables valued at CA$8.17m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CA$41.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit isn't so bad because Aleafia Health is worth CA$82.8m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Aleafia Health can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
In the last year Aleafia Health wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 7.2%, to CA$38m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Aleafia Health produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping CA$55m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CA$39m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 5 warning signs we've spotted with Aleafia Health (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSX:AH
Aleafia Health
Aleafia Health Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as cannabis health and wellness company in Canada, Europe, and Australia.
Slightly overvalued with weak fundamentals.