Stock Analysis

Saputo (TSE:SAP) Will Pay A Dividend Of CA$0.18

TSX:SAP
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Saputo Inc.'s (TSE:SAP) investors are due to receive a payment of CA$0.18 per share on 18th of March. This means the dividend yield will be fairly typical at 2.3%.

View our latest analysis for Saputo

Saputo's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. Prior to this announcement, Saputo's dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings and perhaps more concerning was that it was 140% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows certainly exposes the company to cutting the dividend if cash flows were to reduce.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 107.5% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 44%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.

historic-dividend
TSX:SAP Historic Dividend March 1st 2022

Saputo Has A Solid Track Record

The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. Since 2012, the first annual payment was CA$0.32, compared to the most recent full-year payment of CA$0.72. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.4% a year over that time. Dividends have grown at a reasonable rate over this period, and without any major cuts in the payment over time, we think this is an attractive combination as it provides a nice boost to shareholder returns.

The Dividend Has Limited Growth Potential

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. However, things aren't all that rosy. Earnings per share has been sinking by 15% over the last five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this becomes a long term trend.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. In the past the payments have been stable, but we think the company is paying out too much for this to continue for the long term. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Saputo (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.