Stock Analysis

Rogers Sugar's (TSE:RSI) Dividend Will Be CA$0.09

TSX:RSI
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The board of Rogers Sugar Inc. (TSE:RSI) has announced that it will pay a dividend of CA$0.09 per share on the 9th of January. The dividend yield will be 5.8% based on this payment which is still above the industry average.

View our latest analysis for Rogers Sugar

Rogers Sugar's Projected Earnings Seem Likely To Cover Future Distributions

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, Rogers Sugar's dividend was making up a very large proportion of earnings and perhaps more concerning was that it was 336% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows certainly exposes the company to cutting the dividend if cash flows were to reduce.

Over the next year, EPS could expand by 20.9% if recent trends continue. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 70%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.

historic-dividend
TSX:RSI Historic Dividend December 3rd 2024

Rogers Sugar Has A Solid Track Record

The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. The last annual payment of CA$0.36 was flat on the annual payment from10 years ago. While the consistency in the dividend payments is impressive, we think the relatively slow rate of growth is less attractive.

Rogers Sugar's Dividend Might Lack Growth

The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. Rogers Sugar has impressed us by growing EPS at 21% per year over the past five years. EPS is growing rapidly, although the company is also paying out a large portion of its profits as dividends. If earnings keep growing, the dividend may be sustainable, but generally we'd prefer to see a fast growing company reinvest in further growth.

We should note that Rogers Sugar has issued stock equal to 22% of shares outstanding. Trying to grow the dividend when issuing new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus - perpetually pushing a boulder uphill. Companies that consistently issue new shares are often suboptimal from a dividend perspective.

In Summary

In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Rogers Sugar's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. Although they have been consistent in the past, we think the payments are a little high to be sustained. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 3 warning signs for Rogers Sugar that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.