Stock Analysis

Reconnaissance Energy Africa (CVE:RECO) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

TSXV:RECO
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There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Reconnaissance Energy Africa (CVE:RECO) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.

See our latest analysis for Reconnaissance Energy Africa

How Long Is Reconnaissance Energy Africa's Cash Runway?

You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. In December 2022, Reconnaissance Energy Africa had CA$47m in cash, and was debt-free. Looking at the last year, the company burnt through CA$44m. So it had a cash runway of approximately 13 months from December 2022. That's not too bad, but it's fair to say the end of the cash runway is in sight, unless cash burn reduces drastically. Depicted below, you can see how its cash holdings have changed over time.

debt-equity-history-analysis
TSXV:RECO Debt to Equity History May 28th 2023

How Well Is Reconnaissance Energy Africa Growing?

Reconnaissance Energy Africa reduced its cash burn by 6.8% during the last year, which points to some degree of discipline. But it was the operating revenue growth of 138% that really shone. We think it is growing rather well, upon reflection. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. You can take a look at how Reconnaissance Energy Africa is growing revenue over time by checking this visualization of past revenue growth.

Can Reconnaissance Energy Africa Raise More Cash Easily?

Reconnaissance Energy Africa seems to be in a fairly good position, in terms of cash burn, but we still think it's worthwhile considering how easily it could raise more money if it wanted to. Companies can raise capital through either debt or equity. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By looking at a company's cash burn relative to its market capitalisation, we gain insight on how much shareholders would be diluted if the company needed to raise enough cash to cover another year's cash burn.

Reconnaissance Energy Africa's cash burn of CA$44m is about 15% of its CA$287m market capitalisation. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.

So, Should We Worry About Reconnaissance Energy Africa's Cash Burn?

The good news is that in our view Reconnaissance Energy Africa's cash burn situation gives shareholders real reason for optimism. One the one hand we have its solid cash burn relative to its market cap, while on the other it can also boast very strong revenue growth. Cash burning companies are always on the riskier side of things, but after considering all of the factors discussed in this short piece, we're not too worried about its rate of cash burn. On another note, we conducted an in-depth investigation of the company, and identified 2 warning signs for Reconnaissance Energy Africa (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.