David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Macro Enterprises Inc. (CVE:MCR) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Macro Enterprises
How Much Debt Does Macro Enterprises Carry?
As you can see below, Macro Enterprises had CA$29.2m of debt at September 2020, down from CA$33.4m a year prior. On the flip side, it has CA$20.5m in cash leading to net debt of about CA$8.68m.
How Healthy Is Macro Enterprises' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Macro Enterprises had liabilities of CA$88.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CA$34.1m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CA$20.5m and CA$126.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CA$23.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that Macro Enterprises is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While Macro Enterprises's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.36 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 4.2 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Shareholders should be aware that Macro Enterprises's EBIT was down 82% last year. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Macro Enterprises's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last two years, Macro Enterprises saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
Both Macro Enterprises's EBIT growth rate and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow were discouraging. But on the brighter side of life, its net debt to EBITDA leaves us feeling more frolicsome. We think that Macro Enterprises's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Macro Enterprises (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSXV:MCR
Macro Enterprises
Macro Enterprises Inc. provides pipeline and facilities construction and maintenance services to the oil and gas industry in western Canada.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.
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