The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Ur-Energy Inc. (TSE:URE) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Ur-Energy
How Much Debt Does Ur-Energy Carry?
As you can see below, Ur-Energy had US$12.3m of debt at September 2021, down from US$13.2m a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$33.4m in cash, so it actually has US$21.1m net cash.
How Strong Is Ur-Energy's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Ur-Energy had liabilities of US$6.43m due within a year, and liabilities of US$49.4m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$33.4m in cash and US$15.0k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$22.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given Ur-Energy has a market capitalization of US$401.5m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Ur-Energy also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Ur-Energy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Given its lack of meaningful operating revenue, Ur-Energy shareholders no doubt hope it can fund itself until it can sell some combustibles.
So How Risky Is Ur-Energy?
We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And we do note that Ur-Energy had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of US$12m and booked a US$29m accounting loss. With only US$21.1m on the balance sheet, it would appear that its going to need to raise capital again soon. Summing up, we're a little skeptical of this one, as it seems fairly risky in the absence of free cashflow. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Ur-Energy you should be aware of, and 2 of them are potentially serious.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About TSX:URE
Ur-Energy
Engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of uranium mineral properties.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.