TC Energy Corporation

TSX:TRP Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$72.2b

TC Energy Valuation

Is TRP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TRP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TRP (CA$68.79) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CA$40.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TRP is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TRP?

Key metric: As TRP is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TRP. This is calculated by dividing TRP's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TRP's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14x
EarningsCA$5.09b
Market CapCA$72.23b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TRP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TRP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.3x
ENB Enbridge
20.7x9.0%CA$130.6b
PPL Pembina Pipeline
18.6x4.2%CA$34.4b
KEY Keyera
23.8x5.2%CA$10.3b
GEI Gibson Energy
18x10.1%CA$3.8b
TRP TC Energy
14x-2.3%CA$72.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TRP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x) compared to the peer average (20.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TRP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Oil and Gas Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HAM Highwood Asset Management
1.3x-43.9%US$65.03m
ALPS.U Alpine Summit Energy Partners
1xn/aUS$24.02m
KUB.H Carcetti Capital
0.7xn/aUS$5.82m
GCOM Green Shift Commodities
1.4xn/aUS$4.93m
TRP 14.0xIndustry Avg. 11.0xNo. of Companies11PE0816243240+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TRP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x) compared to the Canadian Oil and Gas industry average (11x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TRP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TRP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14x
Fair PE Ratio13.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TRP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TRP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$68.79
CA$68.47
-0.5%
10.7%CA$82.00CA$53.00n/a19
Nov ’25CA$64.61
CA$63.84
-1.2%
9.4%CA$78.00CA$53.00n/a19
Oct ’25CA$65.26
CA$62.74
-3.9%
7.4%CA$71.00CA$51.00n/a19
Sep ’25CA$62.42
CA$61.16
-2.0%
7.9%CA$70.00CA$49.00n/a19
Aug ’25CA$59.71
CA$57.97
-2.9%
7.0%CA$64.00CA$47.00n/a19
Jul ’25CA$51.86
CA$56.03
+8.0%
7.8%CA$64.00CA$44.00n/a19
Jun ’25CA$52.56
CA$55.79
+6.1%
7.4%CA$63.00CA$44.00n/a21
May ’25CA$49.15
CA$55.60
+13.1%
7.8%CA$63.00CA$44.00n/a21
Apr ’25CA$54.65
CA$56.17
+2.8%
7.4%CA$63.00CA$44.00n/a21
Mar ’25CA$53.92
CA$56.07
+4.0%
7.6%CA$63.00CA$44.00n/a21
Feb ’25CA$53.35
CA$55.03
+3.1%
7.8%CA$63.00CA$43.00n/a20
Jan ’25CA$51.76
CA$53.75
+3.8%
9.1%CA$63.00CA$39.00n/a18
Dec ’24CA$51.06
CA$53.47
+4.7%
9.2%CA$63.00CA$39.00n/a18
Nov ’24CA$48.52
CA$53.19
+9.6%
10.2%CA$63.00CA$38.00CA$64.6118
Oct ’24CA$46.71
CA$54.74
+17.2%
8.5%CA$63.00CA$45.00CA$65.2617
Sep ’24CA$49.51
CA$54.69
+10.5%
8.3%CA$63.00CA$45.00CA$62.4218
Aug ’24CA$47.39
CA$55.33
+16.8%
9.0%CA$63.00CA$45.00CA$59.7118
Jul ’24CA$53.54
CA$60.44
+12.9%
7.5%CA$68.00CA$50.00CA$51.8618
Jun ’24CA$53.72
CA$60.84
+13.3%
7.6%CA$68.00CA$50.00CA$52.5619
May ’24CA$56.37
CA$60.92
+8.1%
7.6%CA$68.00CA$50.00CA$49.1519
Apr ’24CA$52.57
CA$60.73
+15.5%
7.4%CA$68.00CA$51.00CA$54.6520
Mar ’24CA$54.91
CA$60.98
+11.0%
7.2%CA$68.00CA$51.00CA$53.9221
Feb ’24CA$54.11
CA$62.85
+16.2%
8.3%CA$73.00CA$51.00CA$53.3520
Jan ’24CA$53.98
CA$64.80
+20.0%
8.1%CA$74.00CA$52.00CA$51.7620
Dec ’23CA$58.78
CA$65.19
+10.9%
7.7%CA$74.00CA$51.00CA$51.0621
Nov ’23CA$59.62
CA$66.67
+11.8%
8.4%CA$78.00CA$52.00CA$48.5221

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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