TC Energy Valuation

Is TRP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TRP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TRP (CA$48.54) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CA$33.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TRP is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TRP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TRP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue7.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA12.6x
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TRP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TRP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.3x
ENB Enbridge
17x9.6%CA$99.2b
PPL Pembina Pipeline
16.6x8.1%CA$27.4b
KEY Keyera
18.8x12.5%CA$8.0b
GEI Gibson Energy
16.9x9.4%CA$3.6b
TRP TC Energy
17.8x15.0%CA$50.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TRP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the peer average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TRP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TRP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the Canadian Oil and Gas industry average (9.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TRP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TRP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.8x
Fair PE Ratio17.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TRP is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TRP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$48.54
CA$55.73
+14.8%
7.8%CA$63.00CA$44.00n/a20
Apr ’25CA$54.65
CA$56.17
+2.8%
7.4%CA$63.00CA$44.00n/a21
Mar ’25CA$53.92
CA$56.07
+4.0%
7.6%CA$63.00CA$44.00n/a21
Feb ’25CA$53.35
CA$55.03
+3.1%
7.8%CA$63.00CA$43.00n/a20
Jan ’25CA$51.76
CA$53.75
+3.8%
9.1%CA$63.00CA$39.00n/a18
Dec ’24CA$51.06
CA$53.47
+4.7%
9.2%CA$63.00CA$39.00n/a18
Nov ’24CA$48.52
CA$53.19
+9.6%
10.2%CA$63.00CA$38.00n/a18
Oct ’24CA$46.71
CA$54.74
+17.2%
8.5%CA$63.00CA$45.00n/a17
Sep ’24CA$49.51
CA$54.69
+10.5%
8.3%CA$63.00CA$45.00n/a18
Aug ’24CA$47.39
CA$55.33
+16.8%
9.0%CA$63.00CA$45.00n/a18
Jul ’24CA$53.54
CA$60.44
+12.9%
7.5%CA$68.00CA$50.00n/a18
Jun ’24CA$53.72
CA$60.84
+13.3%
7.6%CA$68.00CA$50.00n/a19
May ’24CA$56.37
CA$60.92
+8.1%
7.6%CA$68.00CA$50.00n/a19
Apr ’24CA$52.57
CA$61.24
+16.5%
6.6%CA$68.00CA$51.00CA$54.6519
Mar ’24CA$54.91
CA$60.98
+11.0%
7.2%CA$68.00CA$51.00CA$53.9221
Feb ’24CA$54.11
CA$62.85
+16.2%
8.3%CA$73.00CA$51.00CA$53.3520
Jan ’24CA$53.98
CA$64.80
+20.0%
8.1%CA$74.00CA$52.00CA$51.7620
Dec ’23CA$58.78
CA$65.19
+10.9%
7.7%CA$74.00CA$51.00CA$51.0621
Nov ’23CA$59.62
CA$66.67
+11.8%
8.4%CA$78.00CA$52.00CA$48.5221
Oct ’23CA$55.64
CA$69.24
+24.4%
8.2%CA$78.00CA$52.00CA$46.7121
Sep ’23CA$62.94
CA$69.90
+11.1%
8.2%CA$78.00CA$52.00CA$49.5121
Aug ’23CA$68.27
CA$70.64
+3.5%
8.1%CA$78.00CA$53.00CA$47.3921
Jul ’23CA$66.68
CA$72.29
+8.4%
8.4%CA$80.00CA$53.00CA$53.5421
Jun ’23CA$73.52
CA$72.60
-1.3%
8.3%CA$80.00CA$53.00CA$53.7220
May ’23CA$67.95
CA$71.66
+5.5%
8.3%CA$80.00CA$55.00CA$56.3722
Apr ’23CA$71.46
CA$69.46
-2.8%
6.9%CA$79.00CA$56.00CA$52.5723

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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