Pembina Pipeline Corporation

TSX:PPL Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$34.4b

Pembina Pipeline Valuation

Is PPL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PPL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PPL (CA$59.37) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$120.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PPL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PPL?

Key metric: As PPL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PPL. This is calculated by dividing PPL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PPL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.6x
EarningsCA$1.85b
Market CapCA$34.40b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PPL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PPL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.1x
TRP TC Energy
14x-2.3%CA$72.2b
ENB Enbridge
20.7x9.0%CA$130.6b
KEY Keyera
23.8x5.2%CA$10.3b
GEI Gibson Energy
18x10.1%CA$3.8b
PPL Pembina Pipeline
18.6x4.2%CA$34.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PPL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x) compared to the peer average (19.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PPL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CA Oil and Gas Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HAM Highwood Asset Management
1.3x-43.9%US$65.03m
ALPS.U Alpine Summit Energy Partners
1xn/aUS$24.02m
KUB.H Carcetti Capital
0.7xn/aUS$5.82m
GCOM Green Shift Commodities
1.4xn/aUS$4.93m
PPL 18.6xIndustry Avg. 11.0xNo. of Companies11PE0816243240+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PPL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x) compared to the Canadian Oil and Gas industry average (11x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PPL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PPL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.6x
Fair PE Ratio13.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PPL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PPL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$59.37
CA$61.69
+3.9%
4.8%CA$67.00CA$55.00n/a16
Nov ’25CA$58.07
CA$60.63
+4.4%
6.0%CA$68.00CA$55.00n/a16
Oct ’25CA$56.61
CA$58.27
+2.9%
3.2%CA$61.00CA$55.00n/a15
Sep ’25CA$54.29
CA$58.36
+7.5%
5.2%CA$67.00CA$55.00n/a14
Aug ’25CA$53.36
CA$55.43
+3.9%
4.7%CA$60.00CA$51.00n/a14
Jul ’25CA$50.76
CA$54.57
+7.5%
4.0%CA$58.00CA$51.00n/a14
Jun ’25CA$50.63
CA$54.56
+7.8%
3.9%CA$58.00CA$51.00n/a16
May ’25CA$47.74
CA$52.32
+9.6%
8.1%CA$58.00CA$39.50n/a17
Apr ’25CA$48.11
CA$51.85
+7.8%
7.9%CA$58.00CA$39.50n/a17
Mar ’25CA$47.49
CA$51.88
+9.2%
7.2%CA$58.00CA$41.00n/a16
Feb ’25CA$46.15
CA$51.47
+11.5%
7.2%CA$58.00CA$41.00n/a15
Jan ’25CA$45.62
CA$50.97
+11.7%
7.8%CA$58.00CA$41.00n/a15
Dec ’24CA$45.67
CA$50.20
+9.9%
7.6%CA$58.00CA$41.00n/a15
Nov ’24CA$42.88
CA$47.50
+10.8%
12.3%CA$53.00CA$30.00CA$58.0715
Oct ’24CA$40.84
CA$50.25
+23.0%
7.4%CA$58.00CA$41.00CA$56.6114
Sep ’24CA$42.51
CA$50.22
+18.1%
7.0%CA$58.00CA$41.00CA$54.2916
Aug ’24CA$41.33
CA$51.35
+24.3%
6.8%CA$58.00CA$41.00CA$53.3617
Jul ’24CA$41.65
CA$51.47
+23.6%
6.8%CA$58.00CA$41.00CA$50.7617
Jun ’24CA$41.51
CA$51.35
+23.7%
6.9%CA$58.00CA$41.00CA$50.6317
May ’24CA$44.60
CA$51.29
+15.0%
6.9%CA$58.00CA$41.00CA$47.7417
Apr ’24CA$43.78
CA$51.59
+17.8%
6.9%CA$58.00CA$41.00CA$48.1117
Mar ’24CA$45.39
CA$51.47
+13.4%
7.2%CA$58.00CA$41.00CA$47.4917
Feb ’24CA$47.03
CA$50.67
+7.7%
8.5%CA$58.00CA$37.00CA$46.1518
Jan ’24CA$45.96
CA$50.24
+9.3%
8.6%CA$58.00CA$37.00CA$45.6217
Dec ’23CA$49.14
CA$49.76
+1.3%
8.9%CA$58.00CA$37.00CA$45.6717
Nov ’23CA$44.54
CA$49.76
+11.7%
8.7%CA$58.00CA$37.00CA$42.8817

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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