TC Energy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

TC Energy's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 0.1% and 2.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 1.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 14.3% in 3 years.

Key information

-2.3%

Earnings growth rate

-1.2%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth	4.8%
Revenue growth rate	-0.1%
Future return on equity	14.3%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	18 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

TC Energy Corporation Just Beat Revenue By 7.4%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Aug 05

Recent updates

TC Energy Corporation (TSE:TRP) Not Flying Under The Radar

Sep 15

Calculating The Fair Value Of TC Energy Corporation (TSE:TRP)

Aug 30

TC Energy Corporation Just Beat Revenue By 7.4%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Aug 05

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:TRP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CAD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	15,809	4,285	2,184	8,253	6
12/31/2025	14,776	3,959	1,436	7,909	9
12/31/2024	16,006	4,604	296	7,660	8
9/30/2024	16,647	5,086	681	7,472	N/A
6/30/2024	16,504	3,432	294	7,381	N/A
3/31/2024	16,249	2,719	-549	7,236	N/A
12/31/2023	15,934	2,829	-881	7,268	N/A
9/30/2023	14,976	-81	-720	7,433	N/A
6/30/2023	15,157	957	-631	7,310	N/A
3/31/2023	15,405	1,596	-427	6,742	N/A
12/31/2022	14,977	641	-352	6,375	N/A
9/30/2022	15,283	3,206	-109	6,151	N/A
6/30/2022	14,402	3,144	304	6,162	N/A
3/31/2022	13,506	3,230	1,131	6,931	N/A
12/31/2021	13,387	1,815	966	6,890	N/A
9/30/2021	13,100	1,821	759	7,028	N/A
6/30/2021	13,055	1,946	213	7,099	N/A
3/31/2021	12,962	2,252	-661	7,001	N/A
12/31/2020	12,999	4,457	-1,077	7,058	N/A
9/30/2020	12,965	4,441	-1,432	6,945	N/A
6/30/2020	12,903	4,276	-1,569	6,747	N/A
3/31/2020	13,186	4,120	-1,258	6,856	N/A
12/31/2019	13,255	3,976	-1,100	7,082	N/A
9/30/2019	13,896	3,960	-1,882	7,295	N/A
6/30/2019	13,919	4,149	-2,728	7,009	N/A
3/31/2019	13,742	3,809	-3,270	7,092	N/A
12/31/2018	13,679	3,539	-3,359	6,555	N/A
9/30/2018	13,392	3,308	-2,818	5,906	N/A
6/30/2018	13,431	2,992	N/A	5,792	N/A
3/31/2018	13,466	3,088	N/A	5,340	N/A
12/31/2017	13,449	2,997	N/A	5,230	N/A
9/30/2017	13,493	1,778	N/A	5,415	N/A
6/30/2017	13,930	1,031	N/A	5,495	N/A
3/31/2017	13,451	515	N/A	5,290	N/A
12/31/2016	12,547	124	N/A	5,069	N/A
9/30/2016	11,737	-1,976	N/A	4,902	N/A
6/30/2016	11,049	-1,439	N/A	4,884	N/A
3/31/2016	10,929	-1,375	N/A	4,705	N/A
12/31/2015	11,353	-1,240	N/A	4,384	N/A
9/30/2015	11,065	1,676	N/A	3,715	N/A
6/30/2015	10,572	1,731	N/A	3,710	N/A
3/31/2015	10,175	1,718	N/A	3,860	N/A
12/31/2014	10,185	1,743	N/A	4,226	N/A
9/30/2014	9,901	1,705	N/A	4,349	N/A
6/30/2014	9,654	1,729	N/A	4,225	N/A
3/31/2014	9,429	1,678	N/A	3,947	N/A
12/31/2013	8,797	1,712	N/A	3,674	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TRP's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.3% per year).

Earnings vs Market: TRP's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.3% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TRP's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: TRP's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TRP's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.1% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TRP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (14.3%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/20 15:48
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

TC Energy Corporation is covered by 44 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Harshit Gupta	Accountability Research Corporation
Nathan Heywood	ATB Capital Markets
Theresa Chen	Barclays

TC Energy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

TC Energy Corporation Just Beat Revenue By 7.4%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Price target decreased by 7.5% to CA$55.83

Recent updates

Insider exercised options and sold CA$3.4m worth of stock

CEO, President & Director exercised options and sold CA$1.7m worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 11%

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Dividend of CA$0.82 announced

TC Energy Corporation Declares Dividend for the Quarter Ending December 31, 2024, Payable on January 31, 2025

Third quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

TC Energy Corporation completed the Spin-Off of South Bow Corporation (TSX:SOBO).

TC Energy Corporation to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Nov 07, 2024

Now 22% undervalued

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.96 per share

TC Energy Corporation (TSE:TRP) Not Flying Under The Radar

New minor risk - Insider selling

Calculating The Fair Value Of TC Energy Corporation (TSE:TRP)

TC Energy Corporation Just Beat Revenue By 7.4%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Second quarter dividend of CA$0.96 announced

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

TC Energy Corporation Declares Dividend for the Quarter Ending September 30, 2024, Payable on October 31, 2024

Does TC Energy (TSE:TRP) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

TC Energy Corporation to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 01, 2024

Returns On Capital At TC Energy (TSE:TRP) Have Hit The Brakes

TC Energy Corporation Approves Board Appointments

With TC Energy Corporation (TSE:TRP) It Looks Like You'll Get What You Pay For

TC Energy Corporation to Appeal Delaware Court Rulings in Lawsuit Related to 2016 Columbia Pipeline Acquisition

First quarter dividend of CA$0.96 announced

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

TC Energy (TSE:TRP) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

TC Energy Corporation to Report Q1, 2024 Results on May 03, 2024

TC Energy Corporation, Annual General Meeting, Jun 04, 2024

Tc Energy Corporation Announces Executive Changes

Slowing Rates Of Return At TC Energy (TSE:TRP) Leave Little Room For Excitement

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.96 per share

TC Energy (TSE:TRP) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At CA$0.96

Nisga'a Nation and Western LNG ULC entered into binding letter agreement to acquire Prince Rupert Gas Transmission Holdings Ltd. and Prince Rupert Gas Transmission Limited Partnership from TC Energy Corporation (TSX:TRP).

Fourth quarter dividend increased to CA$0.96

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

TC Energy Corporation Declares Dividend for the Quarter Ending March 31, 2024, Payable on April 30, 2024

TC Energy Corporation to Report Q4, 2023 Results on Feb 16, 2024

TC Energy (TSE:TRP) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

Now 21% overvalued after recent price rise

TC Energy Reportedly Plans to Discuss Selling Natural Gas Pipeline Stake to Indigenous Groups

Calculating The Fair Value Of TC Energy Corporation (TSE:TRP)

TC Energy Corporation's (TSE:TRP) Shareholders Might Be Looking For Exit

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.93 per share at 7.1% yield

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

TC Energy Corporation Appoints John E. Lowe as Chair of the Board, Effective January 1, 2024

TC Energy Reportedly Exploring Stake Sales of Assets Worth $10 Billion

TC Energy Reportedly Exploring Stake Sales of Assets Worth $10 Billion

TC Energy Corporation to Report Q3, 2023 Results on Nov 08, 2023

TC Energy Corporation Appoints Hal Kvisle, as Board Chair of New Liquids Pipelines Company

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.93 per share at 7.4% yield

Independent Director recently bought CA$1.4m worth of stock

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Independent Chairman of the Board recently bought CA$1.8m worth of stock

Price target decreased by 7.5% to CA$55.83

Second quarter 2023 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

TC Energy Corporation Declares Quarterly Dividend on Common Share, Payable on October 31, 2023

TC Energy Corporation to Report Q2, 2023 Results on Jul 28, 2023

TC Energy Corporation's Pumped Storage Project Moving to Final Evaluation

TC Energy Corporation's Pumped Storage Project Moving to Final Evaluation

Tc Energy Expects to Appeal Delaware Court Rulings in Lawsuit Related to 2016 Columbia Pipeline Acquisition

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.93 per share at 7.0% yield

Insider recently bought CA$59k worth of stock

TC Energy Corporation acquired Blue Cloud and Fluanna I from Copenhagen Infra Partners II managed by Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners P/S.

First quarter 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of CA$0.93 per share at 7.2% yield

Insider recently bought CA$97k worth of stock

CEO, President & Director recently bought CA$358k worth of stock

Executive VP recently bought CA$57k worth of stock

TC Energy Corporation Declares Dividend for the Quarter Ending March 31, 2023, Payable on April 28, 2023

Full year 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts