TC Energy Corporation

TSX:TRP Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$89.7b

TC Energy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

TC Energy is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 8.3% and 4.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 6.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.4% in 3 years.

Key information

8.3%

Earnings growth rate

6.43%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth8.0%
Revenue growth rate4.9%
Future return on equity15.45%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated27 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

TRP: Backlog Visibility And Dividend Policy Will Shape Future Risk Reward Balance

TC Energy's analyst price target has been revised higher by CA$0.87 to CA$88.52 as analysts factor in Q4 results, updated models, and continued interest in the company's natural gas and power growth pipeline. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of higher price targets for TC Energy alongside a few rating downgrades, giving you a mixed but useful picture of how the Street views valuation, execution risk, and growth plans after the latest results.

TRP: Backlog Visibility And Dividend Policy Will Guide Measured Future Return Balance

The analyst price target for TC Energy has been raised slightly, with CA$ value revisions supported by updated models that reflect recent quarterly results, higher estimated revenue growth, modestly adjusted profit margins, and Street research highlighting the company's natural gas and power portfolio as well as its project backlog visibility. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on TC Energy clusters around a higher value range, but opinions still differ on how much upside is left and how dependable the longer term growth story looks after the recent share price move.

TRP: Backlog Certainty And Dividend Policy Will Shape Future Return Balance

Narrative Update The analyst price target for TC Energy has been revised from CA$86.00 to CA$87.32 as analysts update models for the Q4 report, reflect reiterated FY26 EBITDA guidance, and factor in a series of higher Street targets, which are partly tempered by recent share price appreciation. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on TC Energy show a mix of optimism on growth and asset quality, balanced against concerns about valuation after the recent share price move.

TRP: Backlog And Dividend Policy Will Shape Returns Versus Execution Risk

The analyst price target for TC Energy in our model rises from CA$84.41 to CA$85.95, with analysts generally pointing to Q4 results, updated FY26 EBITDA guidance and increased capex expectations as key reasons for revisiting their assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a cluster of higher price targets for TC Energy, but with a split view on how much upside remains after the latest share price move.

TRP: Backlog Visibility And Dividend Policy Will Shape Returns Versus Fair Value

TC Energy's updated fair value estimate rises to CA$84.41 from CA$79.55 as analysts lift price targets into the CA$85 to CA$93 range, citing recent Q4 results, reiterated FY26 EBITDA guidance and increased confidence in the company's long term growth backlog. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a clear cluster of higher price targets for TC Energy, but the tone is not uniformly positive.

TRP: Updated 2028 Outlook And Execution Versus Fair Value Will Guide Returns

Analysts have adjusted their fair value estimate for TC Energy to about C$79.55 per share from roughly C$79.18, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, as reflected in recent C$1 price target increases from multiple firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates, including C$1 price target moves from firms such as JPMorgan, point to a relatively tight but constructive range of views on TC Energy.

TRP: Extended 2028 Outlook And Project Execution Will Shape Medium Term Returns

Our analyst price target for TC Energy edges up by about C$0.40 to roughly C$79.20, reflecting Street analysts' higher targets in the C$78 to C$84 range and their view that the company has a solid pipeline of projects and medium term opportunities. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts see the recent upgrade and higher price targets, in the C$78 to C$84 range, as aligned with TC Energy's current project backlog and medium term plan.

TRP: Extended 2028 Outlook And Execution Support Balanced Medium Term Expectations

Analysts have raised their price targets for TC Energy into the C$78 to C$84 range, reflecting confidence in the company's extended outlook to 2028 and its ongoing project execution. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on TC Energy has centered on higher price targets and upgraded ratings that reflect how analysts are thinking about the company’s execution and medium term outlook.

TRP: Extended 2028 Outlook And Project Execution Will Drive Measured Medium Term Upside

The analyst price target for TC Energy has inched higher to about C$78.77 from C$78.00 as analysts highlight a robust multi year project pipeline, reaffirmed guidance, and growing confidence in the company's ability to deliver medium term upside. Analyst Commentary Street research remains largely constructive on TC Energy, with recent actions skewing toward upgrades and price target increases that support the modestly higher consensus target.

TRP: Extended 2028 Outlook And Project Execution Will Shape Future Performance

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for TC Energy up by C$0.50 to C$78.00, citing higher price targets and increased confidence in the company’s long term growth opportunities and project execution. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a generally constructive stance on TC Energy, with multiple firms lifting ratings and price targets in response to the company’s latest operating and financial updates.

TRP: Multi-Year Outlook And Project Execution Will Guide Performance Through 2028

TC Energy's analyst price target has been raised modestly from C$76.68 to C$77.50. This change reflects analysts' increased confidence in the company's multi-year outlook and execution, following supportive recent earnings and guidance updates.

TRP: Medium-Term Execution Will Shape Outlook Amid Project Redeployment Plans

Analysts have raised their price target for TC Energy from C$75.48 to C$76.68. They cite stronger expected profit margins and renewed confidence in the company’s medium-term outlook.

TRP: Share Performance Will Reflect Rising Margins Amid Cautious Sector Outlook

Analysts have raised their price target for TC Energy, reflecting an increase from C$74.48 to C$75.48 per share. Recent updates to midstream sector models and profit margin forecasts support a moderately higher fair value.

Overvaluations Will Crumble As North American Gas Faces Decarbonization

The consensus analyst price target for TC Energy has increased modestly to C$74.48, as analysts cite updated financial models and stable performance. This comes despite some recent downgrades from previously more bullish ratings.

TC Energy Corporation's (TSE:TRP) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

Sep 17
TC Energy Corporation's (TSE:TRP) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

Here's Why TC Energy (TSE:TRP) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Aug 03
Here's Why TC Energy (TSE:TRP) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Here's Why We Think TC Energy (TSE:TRP) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

Jul 15
Here's Why We Think TC Energy (TSE:TRP) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

TC Energy's (TSE:TRP) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

May 08
TC Energy's (TSE:TRP) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

It's Unlikely That TC Energy Corporation's (TSE:TRP) CEO Will See A Huge Pay Rise This Year

May 01
It's Unlikely That TC Energy Corporation's (TSE:TRP) CEO Will See A Huge Pay Rise This Year
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Analysts Project Shrinking Profits Amid Heavy Capital Spend And Market Skepticism

Upcoming project completions aim to boost revenue through increased capacity and services amid rising natural gas demand.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

TSX:TRP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CAD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202817,566N/A2,2458,6348
12/31/202716,9004,2612,5428,46810
12/31/202616,3243,8541,9378,1699
12/31/202515,2393,6122,0607,346N/A
9/30/202514,6483,7221,9517,536N/A
6/30/202514,3024,2471,4397,531N/A
3/31/202513,8854,1896907,013N/A
12/31/202413,7714,1991,3387,696N/A
9/30/202411,7633,9816817,472N/A
6/30/202412,3452,4462947,381N/A
3/31/202412,8481,892-5497,236N/A
12/31/202313,2672,217-8817,268N/A
9/30/202315,739-81-7207,433N/A
6/30/202315,598957-6317,310N/A
3/31/202315,4051,596-4276,742N/A
12/31/202212,3098-3526,375N/A
9/30/202214,5203,206-1096,151N/A
6/30/202213,9613,1443046,162N/A
3/31/202213,5063,2301,1316,931N/A
12/31/202113,3871,8159666,890N/A
9/30/202113,1001,8217597,028N/A
6/30/202113,0551,9462137,099N/A
3/31/202112,9622,252-6617,001N/A
12/31/202012,9994,457-1,0777,058N/A
9/30/202012,9654,441-1,4326,945N/A
6/30/202012,9034,276-1,5696,747N/A
3/31/202013,1864,120-1,2586,856N/A
12/31/201913,2553,976-1,1007,082N/A
9/30/201913,8963,960N/A7,295N/A
6/30/201913,9194,149N/A7,009N/A
3/31/201913,7423,809N/A7,092N/A
12/31/201813,6793,539N/A6,555N/A
9/30/201813,3923,308N/A5,906N/A
6/30/201813,4312,992N/A5,792N/A
3/31/201813,4663,088N/A5,340N/A
12/31/201713,4492,997N/A5,230N/A
9/30/201713,4931,778N/A5,415N/A
6/30/201713,9301,031N/A5,495N/A
3/31/201713,451515N/A5,290N/A
12/31/201612,547124N/A5,069N/A
9/30/201611,737-1,976N/A4,902N/A
6/30/201611,049-1,439N/A4,884N/A
3/31/201610,929-1,375N/A4,705N/A
12/31/201511,353-1,240N/A4,384N/A
9/30/201511,0651,676N/A3,715N/A
6/30/201510,5721,731N/A3,710N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TRP's forecast earnings growth (8.3% per year) is above the savings rate (2.9%).

Earnings vs Market: TRP's earnings (8.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (10.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TRP's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: TRP's revenue (4.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (5.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TRP's revenue (4.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TRP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.4%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/29 12:56
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/29 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

TC Energy Corporation is covered by 44 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harshit GuptaAccountability Research Corporation
Nathan HeywoodATB Cormark
Christine ChoBarclays